
-6%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
24h Vol
$139.7K
Liquidity
$50.7K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketCulture
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will "Backrooms" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 33m?. The market currently shows a live probability of 2%, $946.2 in 24h volume, and $1.6K in liquidity.
Probability
2%
24h Volume
$946.2
Liquidity
$1.6K
This market asks a simple box-office question about the movie “Backrooms”: will its second weekend domestic gross come in above $33 million? Because the outcome depends on a specific weekend total and not on studio commentary or headlines, the key issue is the final reported box-office figure for June 5–7 on The Numbers.
The market resolves on the 3-day weekend gross listed for “Backrooms” on the Box Office tab of its The Numbers page, using the final, non-estimate domestic Weekend Box Office Performance figure for June 5 through June 7. If the reported amount lands exactly on a bracket edge, the market uses the higher range bracket, and the page’s resolution rule says to rely on The Numbers, with Box Office Mojo used only if final data is still ambiguous. In plain terms, the question is whether the film’s second weekend ticket sales are strong enough to clear the $33 million threshold.
Second-weekend grosses matter because they show whether a movie has held its audience after opening weekend or faded quickly. For a title like “Backrooms,” which carries a recognizable name from internet culture and horror-world branding, readers may be watching whether it can sustain momentum beyond its debut frame. The market is pricing disagreement about whether the film’s follow-up weekend lands above or below that $33 million line.
Any update to the final weekend number on The Numbers can move this market, especially once the figure stops being a studio estimate and becomes final. Early weekend reporting, late adjustments, or a revised domestic total from the resolution sources could change whether the result clears the threshold. Because the cutoff is specific, even a small change near $33 million can matter a lot.
The current market price implies roughly a 2% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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-6%
24h Vol
$139.7K
Liquidity
$50.7K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketBefore this market resolves, check the final 3-day Weekend Box Office Performance entry for June 5–7 on The Numbers, and confirm whether it has been finalized rather than left as an estimate. If there is any mismatch or delay between The Numbers and Box Office Mojo, the market rules say it stays open until both sources have confirmed figures or another credible source is chosen after June 14, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. The main ambiguity to watch is whether the reported weekend total is truly final and which bracket it falls into if the number sits right on the cutoff.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will "Backrooms" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 33m?. The market currently shows a live probability of 2%, $946.2 in 24h volume, and $1.6K in liquidity.
Track live culture prediction markets focused on entertainment, celebrity events, streaming trends, viral topics, movies, music, and global pop culture developments.
Yes
2.2%
No
97.9%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 8, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve according to how much "Backrooms" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (June 5 - June 7) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 2%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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