esports
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
2%
0%
Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Bilibili Gaming qualify to MSI 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 40%, $4 in 24h volume, and $460.3 in liquidity.
Probability
40%
24h Volume
$4
Liquidity
$460.3
This market asks whether Bilibili Gaming will be one of the teams that officially qualify for MSI 2026, the Mid-Season Invitational scheduled for June 26 to July 12, 2026. It is worth watching because MSI is one of League of Legends’ biggest international events, and qualification depends on how Bilibili Gaming perform in their regional path to the tournament.
Bilibili Gaming is a Chinese esports organization, and this market is specifically about whether the team’s 2026 season ends with an official invitation to MSI 2026. The market resolves based on the final published list of MSI 2026 participants, with tiebreakers handled under the official LoL Esports rules if standings are close. If MSI 2026 is canceled, postponed indefinitely, or the participant list is not published by August 1, 2026 ET, the market resolves to No.
The uncertainty comes from the fact that MSI spots are earned, not assumed: teams must navigate their regional league, playoffs, and any selection rules that Riot uses for that year. For Bilibili Gaming, the question is whether they can stay strong enough through the 2026 competitive season to secure one of the limited MSI berths. Readers following this market are essentially tracking whether one of China’s top teams clears the official qualification path.
Price can move when Bilibili Gaming’s regional results make their MSI path look clearer or more difficult, especially in split standings, playoff seeding, or qualification matches that affect who earns the region’s MSI slots. Roster changes matter as well, since a major substitution, coaching change, or role swap can alter expectations about the team’s stability heading into the qualification window. Changes in the season’s patch environment or in the way the LPL qualification format is set up can also affect how likely the team is to finish inside the MSI field.
Related markets
0%
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 40% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before resolution, the key things to check are the official LoL Esports site for the final MSI 2026 participant list and the specific LPL qualification rules that determine which teams go. If standings are tied, the market points to official tiebreak procedures, so readers should verify how Riot applies those rules rather than assuming a simple record comparison. The important deadline is August 1, 2026 ET: if the participant list is still not published by then, this market resolves to No under the rules provided.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Bilibili Gaming qualify to MSI 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 40%, $4 in 24h volume, and $460.3 in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
40%
No
60%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jul 12, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
The MSI 2026 (Mid-Season Invitational) is scheduled to take place from June 26 to July 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to which teams qualify for MSI 2026. If the listed team officially qualifies as one of the teams invited to MSI 2026, the market will resolve to "Yes." Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Ties in standings will be broken according to the official LoL Esports rules. If MSI 2026 is canceled, postponed indefinitely, or if the official list of MSI 2026 participants is not published before August 1, 2026, ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source will be official information from the LoL Esports website (https://lolesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/Mid-Season_Invitational/2026) may also be used.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 40%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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