crypto
🔥 Hot⚡ Tight
55%
+18.2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
24h Vol
$275K
Liquidity
$19.2K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?. The market currently shows a live probability of 12%, $93.9K in 24h volume, and $60.3K in liquidity.
Probability
12%
24h Volume
$93.9K
Liquidity
$60.3K
This market asks whether Bitcoin will touch a low of $47,500 at any point on Binance during June. Because the rule is based on a single exchange’s one-minute candles, even a brief wick matters, which makes this a tighter question than simply where Bitcoin ends the month.
The title is about BTC/USDT on Binance in June, and the market resolves to Yes if any one-minute candle from June 1 through June 30 ET has a final low at or below $47,500. The resolution deadline is the end of the month window, with the market set to close after June ends; the source of truth is explicitly Binance’s BTC/USDT chart on the 1-minute setting. That means the outcome depends on the lowest intraminute price printed on Binance, not on monthly closes, averages, or prices from other venues.
Bitcoin can move sharply in either direction, and a price level like $47,500 is a concrete threshold that traders watch for support, volatility, and forced-selling risk. This market is pricing disagreement about whether June will contain a sharp enough drop on Binance to hit that level, even if the move is short-lived. The uncertainty is not just about Bitcoin’s direction, but about whether a brief flash lower appears at all during the month.
Price can change quickly if Bitcoin gaps lower during a macro risk-off move, a leveraged selloff, or a sharp crypto-wide liquidation event, because the rule only needs one qualifying minute. News tied to Bitcoin ETFs, regulation, exchange-related stress, or large moves in broader markets can matter if they trigger an intraday wick on Binance. Since the market resolves from Binance BTC/USDT alone, an event that moves that specific pair more than the broader spot market can be enough to decide the result.
The current market price implies roughly a 12% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
+18.2%
24h Vol
$275K
Liquidity
$19.2K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketThe most important detail is the exact resolution rule: only Binance BTC/USDT one-minute candles count, and the decisive number is the candle’s final Low price, not the last traded price or a different exchange’s quote. Readers should verify the UTC/ET timing window in the description, the chart timeframe, and whether Binance’s displayed low for any minute reaches $47,500 or below before the month ends. If there is any ambiguity, it will usually be about candle settings, timezone boundaries, or whether a brief wick is actually captured in the published low for that minute.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?. The market currently shows a live probability of 12%, $93.9K in 24h volume, and $60.3K in liquidity.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Yes
11.7%
No
88.4%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jul 1, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 12%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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