crypto
🔥 Hot⚡ Tight
55%
+18.2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
24h Vol
$275K
Liquidity
$19.2K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?. The market currently shows a live probability of 22%, $51.9K in 24h volume, and $24K in liquidity.
Probability
22%
24h Volume
$51.9K
Liquidity
$24K
This market asks whether Bitcoin will trade down to $52,500 on Binance at any point during June. The exact trigger is very specific: one one-minute BTC/USDT candle on Binance must print a low at or below that level for the market to settle Yes.
The question is not where Bitcoin ends the month, but whether the BTC/USDT pair on Binance touches $52,500 or lower during any minute-long candle between June 1 at 00:00 ET and June 30 at 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source is Binance’s BTC/USDT chart with the 1-minute timeframe selected, and only the low price on that specific market counts. Other exchanges, other trading pairs, or broader spot market prices do not matter for settlement.
Bitcoin is volatile enough that a brief intramonth drawdown can happen even if the month later recovers, which makes a level like $52,500 a meaningful threshold to watch. Traders may disagree about whether June will bring a sharper pullback, a range-bound month, or a clean bounce that avoids that price entirely. Because the market resolves on a single Binance candle low, even a short-lived wick can decide the outcome.
The market price can move if BTC approaches the $52,500 area on Binance, since that increases the chance of a qualifying low. A fast selloff, a liquidation cascade, or a sudden intraday spike in volatility would raise the odds of a Yes resolution, while a stable uptrend or a firm floor well above that level would support No. Since the rule depends on one-minute lows, even brief moves can matter more than the closing price or the broader daily trend.
The current market price implies roughly a 22% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
+18.2%
24h Vol
$275K
Liquidity
$19.2K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketThe key thing to verify is the exact Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle data for June, not just Bitcoin headlines or prices on other venues. Readers should pay attention to the market’s cutoff window in Eastern Time and remember that the resolution uses the candle low, so a quick wick to $52,500 counts even if the price immediately rebounds. If Binance data is unclear or inaccessible, the settlement still depends on the exchange’s own BTC/USDT chart and the rules quoted above.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?. The market currently shows a live probability of 22%, $51.9K in 24h volume, and $24K in liquidity.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Yes
22.4%
No
77.6%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jul 1, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 22%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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