crypto
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
0%
-3.4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 6?
24h Vol
$376.6K
Liquidity
$115K
Spread
0%
6/6/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Bitcoin dip to $53,000 on June 6?. The market currently shows a live probability of 1%, $7.3K in 24h volume, and $13.5K in liquidity.
Probability
1%
24h Volume
$7.3K
Liquidity
$13.5K
This market asks a very specific price-level question about Bitcoin on June 6: did BTC/USDT on Binance trade down to $53,000 or lower at any point during the day? Because it is tied to a single exchange’s one-minute candles, the answer can turn on a brief intraday wick rather than the broader market trend.
The contract resolves to "Yes" if any Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle on June 6 has a final low price at or below $53,000, using the UTC-anchored June 6 window converted to 12:00 AM ET through 11:59 PM ET as stated in the rules. If that exact condition never appears in Binance’s one-minute low data, it resolves to "No." The key names here are Bitcoin, Binance, and the BTC/USDT pair, because only that exchange and that trading pair count for settlement.
A threshold market like this is about whether Bitcoin’s intraday volatility is sharp enough to touch a specific downside level, even briefly. Readers may care because $53,000 is a clearly defined line in the sand, and small moves, exchange-specific price gaps, or short-lived selloffs can matter as much as the broader daily direction. The market is currently priced with "No" overwhelmingly favored, which suggests traders see a dip to that exact level as unlikely under the contract’s rules.
What moves this market is not just where Bitcoin closes, but whether Binance prints a one-minute candle low at or below $53,000 before the day ends. A fast selloff, a sudden rebound, or even a thin-liquidity wick on Binance can be enough to change the outcome, while similar moves on other exchanges would not. Because the settlement depends on one exchange’s data, any Binance-specific outage, chart discrepancy, or pricing anomaly is especially important.
The current market price implies roughly a 1% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
-3.4%
24h Vol
$376.6K
Liquidity
$115K
Spread
0%
6/6/2026
View marketBefore this market resolves, check the contract’s exact settlement rule: Binance BTC/USDT, 1-minute candles, and the candle low, not the close. The main source of truth is the Binance chart at the specified pair and timeframe, and the relevant window is the full June 6 trading day as defined in the description. The biggest ambiguity risk is assuming that prices from another exchange or a different candle interval will count, when they will not.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Bitcoin dip to $53,000 on June 6?. The market currently shows a live probability of 1%, $7.3K in 24h volume, and $13.5K in liquidity.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Yes
0.7%
No
99.4%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on the date specified in the title, between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 1%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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