crypto
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
0%
-3.4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 6?
24h Vol
$376.6K
Liquidity
$115K
Spread
0%
6/6/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 on June 6?. The market currently shows a live probability of 1%, $13K in 24h volume, and $11.8K in liquidity.
Probability
1%
24h Volume
$13K
Liquidity
$11.8K
This market asks whether Bitcoin will print a Binance BTC/USDT one-minute low at or below $56,000 on June 6. It is a simple threshold test on a specific exchange and chart interval, so the key issue is not where Bitcoin trades generally, but whether that exact low shows up in Binance’s minute-by-minute data during the stated day.
The event is tied to Bitcoin, the largest cryptocurrency by market value, and to Binance’s BTC/USDT trading pair. Resolution depends on whether any 1-minute candle on June 6, between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET, has a final low price of $56,000 or lower. If that happens even once on Binance’s 1-minute chart, the market resolves Yes; if not, it resolves No.
Bitcoin can move sharply within a single day, and short-lived drops often matter more than the day’s closing price for markets like this. The uncertainty here is about an intraday wick on one exchange rather than a broader trend, so traders may disagree on whether a brief selloff, liquidity sweep, or sudden rebound will take price through the stated level. The market is also sensitive to the fact that only Binance BTC/USDT data counts, which can differ from prices on other venues.
A quick move below $56,000 on Binance, even if it lasts only a minute, would be enough to settle this market to Yes. Sharp crypto moves can be driven by rapid changes in risk sentiment, large liquidations, or sudden volatility during active trading hours, but only the resulting Binance 1-minute low matters for resolution. If BTC stays above the threshold on Binance for the full day, the market settles No regardless of how other exchanges trade.
The current market price implies roughly a 1% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
-3.4%
24h Vol
$376.6K
Liquidity
$115K
Spread
0%
6/6/2026
View marketThe most important details are the exact cutoff time, the exchange, the pair, and the candle setting: Binance BTC/USDT on 1-minute candles from 12:00 AM ET through 11:59 PM ET on June 6. Readers should verify the final low values on Binance’s chart, because other exchanges, other pairs, or spot references do not count here. The market ends on June 7 at 04:00 UTC, but the resolution standard is the June 6 ET trading day and Binance’s published minute lows, so any ambiguity would come from data formatting rather than price direction.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 on June 6?. The market currently shows a live probability of 1%, $13K in 24h volume, and $11.8K in liquidity.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Yes
1.4%
No
98.7%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on the date specified in the title, between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 1%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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