crypto
🔥 Hot⚡ Tight
62%
+11.1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
24h Vol
$276.3K
Liquidity
$32.7K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 6?. The market currently shows a live probability of 8%, $16.7K in 24h volume, and $6.7K in liquidity.
Probability
8%
24h Volume
$16.7K
Liquidity
$6.7K
This market asks a very specific price question about Bitcoin on June 6: did BTC/USDT on Binance print a one-minute low at or below $58,000 at any point during that calendar day in New York time? Because the contract resolves from a single exchange and a single candle setting, the answer can turn on a brief intraday wick rather than where Bitcoin spent most of the day trading.
The title refers to Bitcoin, the largest crypto asset, and a one-day threshold check at $58,000. Resolution is not based on an average price, daily close, or broader market data; it is based only on Binance BTC/USDT one-minute candles between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on June 6. If any final candle low on that day is at or below $58,000, the market resolves Yes; otherwise it resolves No.
Bitcoin often moves sharply within short time windows, so a day-level price threshold can be uncertain even when the longer trend looks stable. Traders may disagree about whether Binance will see a brief sell-off, liquidation-driven wick, or sudden rebound that keeps the low above the cutoff. The market is also sensitive to the exact source-of-truth rule, since only Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute lows count here.
The main things that can change this market are intraday Bitcoin volatility, fast moves around U.S. trading hours, and any sharp sell pressure that creates a one-minute low on Binance near or below $58,000. Because the contract keys off the candle low, even a very short dip can matter more than the day’s closing price. Large swings in crypto sentiment, leveraged liquidations, or exchange-specific price action on Binance would be the kinds of developments that could swing the outcome.
The current market price implies roughly a 8% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
+11.1%
24h Vol
$276.3K
Liquidity
$32.7K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketReaders should verify the Binance BTC/USDT chart is set to 1-minute candles and that the comparison uses the BTC/USDT pair on Binance only, not another exchange or a different market. The deadline is the full day of June 6 in ET, and the market resolves from the candle low at any point during that window, so the final answer may depend on a brief wick late in the session. If there is any ambiguity, the source of truth is the Binance chart and its published low prices, not outside price trackers or summary sites.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 6?. The market currently shows a live probability of 8%, $16.7K in 24h volume, and $6.7K in liquidity.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Yes
7.5%
No
92.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on the date specified in the title, between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 8%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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