crypto
🔥 Hot⚡ Tight
56%
+16.5%
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
24h Vol
$281.5K
Liquidity
$31.7K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 5?. The market currently shows a live probability of 2%, $123.4K in 24h volume, and $10.1K in liquidity.
Probability
2%
24h Volume
$123.4K
Liquidity
$10.1K
This market asks a very specific Bitcoin price question for June 5: did BTC/USDT on Binance trade down to $59,000 or lower at any point during that calendar day in Eastern Time? Because the rule looks at a single exchange’s one-minute candles rather than a broader market average, tiny intraday moves and short-lived wicks can decide the outcome.
The title names Bitcoin and a single price threshold, $59,000, with June 5 as the deadline. Resolution is not based on a daily close or a spot index; it is triggered if any Binance BTC/USDT one-minute candle has a final Low at or below $59,000 between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on that date. If no such candle appears, the market resolves to No.
Bitcoin is volatile enough that a round-number level like $59,000 can be reached, missed, or briefly touched within minutes, so there is genuine uncertainty over whether that exact floor will print on the chosen day. The market is effectively pricing the chance of an intraday dip on Binance specifically, not a broader question about where Bitcoin trades across exchanges or how it ends the day.
Anything that changes Bitcoin’s intraday path can matter here, especially fast moves on Binance that create a one-minute low at or below the target. Large BTC selloffs, sharp liquidation cascades, or a brief exchange-specific wick could flip the outcome even if the broader market later recovers. Because the rule uses the Binance BTC/USDT low, the exact candle data matters more than headlines about the day’s average price.
The current market price implies roughly a 2% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
+16.5%
24h Vol
$281.5K
Liquidity
$31.7K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketReaders should verify the exact resolution standard: Binance BTC/USDT, 1-minute candles, and the candle Low field in Eastern Time for June 5. The main ambiguity risk is assuming a daily close, a different exchange, or a different trading pair; none of those count here. Since the market ends after the calendar day and resolves from Binance chart data, the key check is whether any minute on June 5 printed $59,000 or lower on that source of truth.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 5?. The market currently shows a live probability of 2%, $123.4K in 24h volume, and $10.1K in liquidity.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Yes
2.4%
No
97.7%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 6, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on the date specified in the title, between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 2%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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