crypto
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
0%
-3.4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 6?
24h Vol
$376.6K
Liquidity
$115K
Spread
0%
6/6/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 6?. The market currently shows a live probability of 10%, $32K in 24h volume, and $8.3K in liquidity.
Probability
10%
24h Volume
$32K
Liquidity
$8.3K
This market asks whether Bitcoin will trade down to $59,000 at any point on June 6, using Binance’s BTC/USDT one-minute candles as the deciding record. It is worth watching because the threshold is close enough to matter intraday, and the market resolves on a single low print rather than where Bitcoin ends the day.
The title sets a simple price test: if any Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle on June 6 has a final low of $59,000 or below, the market resolves Yes. If Bitcoin never touches that level on Binance during the specified UTC/ET day window, it resolves No. The key names here are Bitcoin, Binance, and the BTC/USDT trading pair, because the resolution depends only on that exchange’s published one-minute candle data.
Bitcoin can move sharply within a single day, and a level like $59,000 can act as a near-term support or downside target that traders watch closely. The uncertainty is not about Bitcoin’s long-run direction, but about whether price will briefly wick down to a specific number before the day ends. That makes the market a narrow test of intraday volatility and how often the asset revisits round-number levels.
A fast move in BTC/USDT on Binance, even if it is only a short-lived wick, can decide the outcome immediately because the rule keys off the candle low. Large market-wide selloffs, forced liquidations, sudden changes in crypto risk sentiment, or sharp moves around major U.S. trading hours could all make that level more likely to be reached. Because only Binance’s BTC/USDT candles count, a move seen elsewhere matters only if it shows up on the specified Binance chart.
The current market price implies roughly a 10% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
-3.4%
24h Vol
$376.6K
Liquidity
$115K
Spread
0%
6/6/2026
View marketReaders should check the exact cutoff in the rules: the market uses June 6 within the stated ET day window, but the end timestamp is shown in UTC on the page, so timing matters. The source of truth is Binance’s BTC/USDT chart set to 1-minute candles, and the deciding value is the candle’s final Low, not the last traded price or a close price. If there is any ambiguity, the safest thing to verify is whether Binance recorded a one-minute low at or below $59,000 before the deadline, since other exchanges and other BTC pairs do not count.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 6?. The market currently shows a live probability of 10%, $32K in 24h volume, and $8.3K in liquidity.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Yes
9.5%
No
90.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on the date specified in the title, between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 10%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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