crypto
🔥 Hot⚡ Tight
55%
+18.2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
24h Vol
$275K
Liquidity
$19.2K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $206.5K in 24h volume, and $140.8K in liquidity.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$206.5K
Liquidity
$140.8K
This market asks a very specific version of the classic Bitcoin milestone question: will BTC trade at or above $100,000 at any point during June, according to Binance’s one-minute BTC/USDT candles. Because the contract resolves off a single exchange and a single intramonth high, it is about whether Bitcoin can print that level even briefly, not whether it can hold it.
The event is defined by the title and the rule set together: Bitcoin must reach $100,000 in June 2026, using Binance BTC/USDT data from 00:00 ET on June 1 through 11:59 PM ET on June 30. The market resolves “Yes” if any one-minute candle on Binance has a final High at or above $100,000 during that window; otherwise it resolves “No.” The end date shown for the market corresponds to the close of that June time window in Eastern Time.
Bitcoin is famous for sharp moves, but round-number thresholds like $100,000 can still be difficult to hit on a specific exchange within a fixed month. Traders and observers may disagree on whether momentum, macro conditions, or crypto-specific flows are strong enough to produce a brief spike to that level before June ends. The market is pricing that disagreement around a very precise rule, which makes the exact exchange data and time window especially important.
A fast rally in Bitcoin spot markets, heavy trading volume on Binance, or a sudden jump driven by broader crypto risk appetite could push the contract toward “Yes.” News that changes expectations for Bitcoin demand, regulation, ETFs, exchange flows, or large market-wide liquidations can also matter if it causes a short-lived wick above $100,000. Because the rule only cares about the one-minute High on Binance BTC/USDT, even a brief intraday spike can change the outcome.
The current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
+18.2%
24h Vol
$275K
Liquidity
$19.2K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketReaders should verify the source of truth carefully: Binance BTC/USDT on the 1-minute chart, with the “High” field on each candle determining whether the threshold was reached. The month and timezone matter too, since the contract only counts candles from the June ET window described in the rules. If there is any ambiguity, it will likely come from chart settings, exchange availability, or misunderstanding the difference between a brief wick and a sustained move.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $206.5K in 24h volume, and $140.8K in liquidity.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Yes
0.3%
No
99.8%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jul 1, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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