crypto
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
0%
-4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 6?
24h Vol
$376K
Liquidity
$117K
Spread
0%
6/6/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Bitcoin reach $63,000 on June 6?. The market currently shows a live probability of 9%, $1.7K in 24h volume, and $1.5K in liquidity.
Probability
9%
24h Volume
$1.7K
Liquidity
$1.5K
This market asks a very specific question about Bitcoin’s price action on June 6: did BTC/USDT print a Binance 1-minute candle high of at least $63,000 at any point during that calendar day in Eastern Time? Because the rule hinges on a single exchange and a single candle setting, it can resolve differently from broader Bitcoin market headlines or prices shown elsewhere.
The event is not about Bitcoin finishing the day above $63,000, and it is not about a weekly or monthly average. It resolves Yes if any 1-minute candle on Binance’s BTC/USDT chart for June 6 has a final High value at or above $63,000; otherwise it resolves No. The cutoff is the full ET day shown in the title, with the market ending after the day closes, and the source of truth is Binance’s BTC/USDT trading page using 1-minute candles.
Bitcoin can trade above or below a round number intraday even if it never holds that level for long, so the exact candle-high rule creates a narrow but real source of uncertainty. Traders may disagree over whether BTC will briefly spike through $63,000 during active U.S. or global trading hours, or whether it will stay below that line for the whole day. The market is therefore pricing a very specific threshold event, not a general view on Bitcoin’s direction.
The biggest price movers here are fast Bitcoin swings that push the intraday high to or beyond $63,000 on Binance, even briefly. Large spot or derivatives flows, sharp moves around U.S. market hours, or sudden risk-on/risk-off sentiment in crypto can matter because the rule only needs one qualifying 1-minute high. Since the threshold is close enough to be reachable in a short burst, even a quick wick rather than a sustained breakout could decide the outcome.
The current market price implies roughly a 9% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
-4%
24h Vol
$376K
Liquidity
$117K
Spread
0%
6/6/2026
View marketRead the resolution rule carefully: only Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle High prices count, and other exchanges, other pairs, or end-of-day closing prices do not. The main thing to verify before resolution is whether Binance’s chart for June 6 shows any 1-minute candle with a final High of $63,000 or more, using the ET day window in the title. The key ambiguity risk is assuming a broader Bitcoin price source applies when this market depends on one specific exchange feed and one specific candle format.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Bitcoin reach $63,000 on June 6?. The market currently shows a live probability of 9%, $1.7K in 24h volume, and $1.5K in liquidity.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Yes
8.5%
No
91.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1-minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on the date specified in the title, between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 9%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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