crypto
🔥 Hot⚡ Tight
55%
+18.2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
24h Vol
$275K
Liquidity
$19.2K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?. The market currently shows a live probability of 16%, $58.5K in 24h volume, and $35.8K in liquidity.
Probability
16%
24h Volume
$58.5K
Liquidity
$35.8K
This market asks a very specific question about Bitcoin’s behavior in June: will BTC/USDT on Binance print a one-minute candle with a high of at least $72,500 at any point in the month? Because the resolution hinges on a single exchange’s minute-by-minute price data, it is less about where Bitcoin ends the month and more about whether it touches that level even briefly.
The title sets a clear threshold: Bitcoin must reach $72,500 during June 2026 for the market to resolve to Yes. According to the rules, only Binance BTC/USDT one-minute candles count, and the key data point is the candle’s final High price between 12:00 a.m. ET on June 1 and 11:59 p.m. ET on June 30. The market ends on July 1, 2026 at 04:00 UTC, so readers should think of this as a month-long price-touch test, not a closing-price forecast.
Bitcoin often moves in fast bursts, and a level like $72,500 can be meaningful as a round-number resistance zone or a prior trading target. There is real uncertainty here because even a strong move can fail to reach the exact threshold, while a short-lived spike on Binance would be enough to settle the market Yes. That creates a live disagreement over whether BTC can break through that level at all during the month, not whether it can stay there.
The price will move if BTC trades sharply higher or lower enough to make a one-minute Binance candle touch $72,500. In practical terms, a sustained rally in Bitcoin, a sudden risk-on move across crypto markets, or a brief volatility spike could be enough to flip the outcome because the rule uses the candle high, not the close. The opposite side of the trade becomes more likely if Bitcoin spends June well below that level and fails to approach it on Binance.
The current market price implies roughly a 16% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
+18.2%
24h Vol
$275K
Liquidity
$19.2K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketThe most important thing to verify is the source of truth: Binance BTC/USDT on the 1m chart, using the candle High, with the market’s ET-based June window. Readers should not rely on other exchanges, spot indexes, or daily closes, because those do not control resolution. The main ambiguity risk is a brief wick or intraminute spike that appears small on other charts but still counts if Binance records a one-minute high at or above $72,500 before June ends.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?. The market currently shows a live probability of 16%, $58.5K in 24h volume, and $35.8K in liquidity.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Yes
15.5%
No
84.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jul 1, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 16%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
-1%
24h Vol
$173K
Liquidity
$25.4K
Spread
0%
6/6/2026
View market--
24h Vol
$117.3K
Liquidity
$8.5K
Spread
2%
6/6/2026
View market+7%
24h Vol
$158.2K
Liquidity
$73.7K
Spread
3%
1/1/2027
View market
+7.6%
24h Vol
$60.1K
Liquidity
$21.8K
Spread
1%
7/1/2026
View market+11.4%
24h Vol
$125.7K
Liquidity
$11.4K
Spread
4%
6/8/2026
View market