
+18.2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
24h Vol
$275K
Liquidity
$19.2K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June?. The market currently shows a live probability of 6%, $51.2K in 24h volume, and $33.4K in liquidity.
Probability
6%
24h Volume
$51.2K
Liquidity
$33.4K
This market asks whether Bitcoin’s BTC/USDT price on Binance will print at least $77,500 on any one-minute candle during June 2026. Because the rule is based on a single exchange and a specific candle high, it is a narrower question than simply whether Bitcoin trades near that level at some point in the month.
The event is tied to Bitcoin, the largest cryptocurrency by market value, and the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Resolution depends on whether any Binance 1-minute candle from June 1 through June 30, 2026 shows a final High price at or above $77,500; if it does, the market resolves Yes, and if not, it resolves No. The key date is the month in the title, while the end timestamp on the page marks the practical cutoff for the resolution window.
The market is pricing uncertainty around whether Bitcoin can touch a specific price threshold within a limited time frame. A level like $77,500 matters because it is an exact, easy-to-verify trigger that may be reached briefly even if Bitcoin does not hold above it for long, which makes the outcome different from a daily close or month-end price question. The disagreement is not just about Bitcoin’s broader direction, but about whether an intramonth spike on Binance is likely enough to satisfy the rule.
Any move that pushes BTC/USDT high enough on Binance during June can change the outcome, especially sharp intraday rallies, thin-liquidity wicks, or fast reactions to macro or crypto-specific news. Because the market uses the one-minute candle high, a brief price burst can matter just as much as a sustained trend, so volatility is more important here than the month-end spot level. The live spread and low-priced Yes side suggest the market is leaning against a touch, but that can change quickly if Bitcoin starts making large one-day moves.
Related markets

+18.2%
24h Vol
$275K
Liquidity
$19.2K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 6% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The most important thing to verify is the exact source of truth: Binance BTC/USDT, 1-minute candles, and the candle High field, not another exchange, not another pair, and not a closing price. Readers should also watch the resolution window carefully, since only prices from June 1, 2026 through June 30, 2026 count under the market rules. If Binance’s chart or historical data display is ambiguous, the safest check is whether any recorded 1-minute candle high on that pair reaches $77,500 before the deadline.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June?. The market currently shows a live probability of 6%, $51.2K in 24h volume, and $33.4K in liquidity.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Yes
5.9%
No
94.1%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jul 1, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 6%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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