Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June?

What this market is about

The event is tied to Bitcoin, the largest cryptocurrency by market value, and the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Resolution depends on whether any Binance 1-minute candle from June 1 through June 30, 2026 shows a final High price at or above $77,500; if it does, the market resolves Yes, and if not, it resolves No. The key date is the month in the title, while the end timestamp on the page marks the practical cutoff for the resolution window.

Why the market exists

The market is pricing uncertainty around whether Bitcoin can touch a specific price threshold within a limited time frame. A level like $77,500 matters because it is an exact, easy-to-verify trigger that may be reached briefly even if Bitcoin does not hold above it for long, which makes the outcome different from a daily close or month-end price question. The disagreement is not just about Bitcoin’s broader direction, but about whether an intramonth spike on Binance is likely enough to satisfy the rule.

What can move the price

Any move that pushes BTC/USDT high enough on Binance during June can change the outcome, especially sharp intraday rallies, thin-liquidity wicks, or fast reactions to macro or crypto-specific news. Because the market uses the one-minute candle high, a brief price burst can matter just as much as a sustained trend, so volatility is more important here than the month-end spot level. The live spread and low-priced Yes side suggest the market is leaning against a touch, but that can change quickly if Bitcoin starts making large one-day moves.

How to read the current probability