crypto
🔥 Hot⚡ Tight
55%
+18.2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
24h Vol
$275K
Liquidity
$19.2K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in June?. The market currently shows a live probability of 3%, $43.6K in 24h volume, and $24.8K in liquidity.
Probability
3%
24h Volume
$43.6K
Liquidity
$24.8K
This market asks whether Bitcoin’s BTC/USDT price on Binance will print a one-minute candle high of at least $82,500 at any point during June 2026. It is a clean price-threshold question, so the key issue is not where Bitcoin finishes the month, but whether it briefly touches the level on Binance’s one-minute chart.
The title refers to Bitcoin, the largest cryptocurrency, and the specific threshold is $82,500. Resolution is based only on Binance BTC/USDT one-minute candles during June 1 through June 30, 2026, measured in Eastern Time, and the market ends on July 1, 2026 at 04:00 UTC. If any Binance 1-minute candle in that window has a final High price at or above $82,500, the market resolves Yes; otherwise it resolves No.
Bitcoin often trades with sharp intraday swings, so a level like $82,500 can be reached briefly even if it does not hold for long. That makes this market useful for people trying to gauge whether the price can break through a specific round-number area, not just whether the broader trend looks strong. The disagreement is about whether June’s trading range will include a short-lived spike to that level on Binance.
The most direct price mover here is a fast move in BTC/USDT on Binance that carries the high of a one-minute candle to $82,500 or above. News around spot Bitcoin ETF flows, major regulatory or exchange developments, macroeconomic surprises, or sudden crypto-wide volatility can all matter if they trigger a sharp intraday burst. Because the rule uses the candle high, even a very brief wick is enough to settle the market Yes.
The current market price implies roughly a 3% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
+18.2%
24h Vol
$275K
Liquidity
$19.2K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketReaders should pay close attention to the exact resolution rule: Binance BTC/USDT only, one-minute candles only, and the High price of any candle is what counts. Prices on other exchanges, futures markets, or longer chart intervals do not matter here, and the market resolves based on the specified June 2026 window in Eastern Time. The main ambiguity risk is assuming a close price or a different trading pair will count when only Binance spot BTC/USDT highs are used.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in June?. The market currently shows a live probability of 3%, $43.6K in 24h volume, and $24.8K in liquidity.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Yes
2.5%
No
97.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jul 1, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 3%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
-1%
24h Vol
$173K
Liquidity
$25.4K
Spread
0%
6/6/2026
View market--
24h Vol
$117.3K
Liquidity
$8.5K
Spread
2%
6/6/2026
View market+7%
24h Vol
$158.2K
Liquidity
$73.7K
Spread
3%
1/1/2027
View market
+7.6%
24h Vol
$60.1K
Liquidity
$21.8K
Spread
1%
7/1/2026
View market+11.4%
24h Vol
$125.7K
Liquidity
$11.4K
Spread
4%
6/8/2026
View market