crypto
🔥 Hot⚡ Tight
55%
+18.2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
24h Vol
$275K
Liquidity
$19.2K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June?. The market currently shows a live probability of 1%, $42.6K in 24h volume, and $40.2K in liquidity.
Probability
1%
24h Volume
$42.6K
Liquidity
$40.2K
This market asks whether Bitcoin will touch $87,500 at any point in June, using Binance BTC/USDT one-minute candles as the only source of truth. Because the rule keys off the high of a single candle, the question is not where Bitcoin finishes the month, but whether price briefly reaches that level during the window.
The event is tied to Bitcoin, the largest cryptocurrency, and to Binance’s BTC/USDT trading pair. It resolves to Yes if any one-minute candle from 00:00 ET on June 1 through 11:59 PM ET on June 30 has a final high at or above $87,500; otherwise it resolves to No. The important detail is that only Binance’s BTC/USDT high prices count, and the market ignores other exchanges, other pairs, and broader spot-market prices.
A month-long price threshold like this is uncertain because Bitcoin can move quickly and sometimes trades through a level only briefly before pulling back. Readers may care because the result captures whether BTC can test a specific round-number target on the Binance market during June, not whether it can hold that level or close there. The disagreement in the market is really about whether that exact intramonth spike happens inside the defined calendar window.
Any sharp move in BTC/USDT on Binance can change this market immediately, especially a fast breakout, a short-lived wick, or a volatile news-driven candle that prints a high above $87,500. Because the rule uses one-minute highs, even a very brief move through the threshold matters, while broader price action below that level does not. Trading activity around major crypto headlines, macro risk events, or sudden liquidity gaps on Binance are the kinds of event-specific developments that could matter most here.
The current market price implies roughly a 1% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
+18.2%
24h Vol
$275K
Liquidity
$19.2K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketBefore the market settles, readers should check the exact resolution clock: the window runs on Eastern Time, and the final outcome depends on Binance’s recorded one-minute candle highs through the end of June. The source of truth is explicitly Binance’s BTC/USDT chart with the 1m setting, so the key question is whether the platform shows any candle high at or above $87,500 inside that period. The main ambiguity risk is source mismatch—prices from other exchanges or a different chart timeframe will not count, even if they show a higher print.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June?. The market currently shows a live probability of 1%, $42.6K in 24h volume, and $40.2K in liquidity.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Yes
1.1%
No
99%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jul 1, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 1%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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