crypto
🔥 Hot⚡ Tight
55%
+18.2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
24h Vol
$275K
Liquidity
$19.2K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June?. The market currently shows a live probability of 1%, $16.2K in 24h volume, and $52.9K in liquidity.
Probability
1%
24h Volume
$16.2K
Liquidity
$52.9K
This market asks whether Bitcoin will trade at or above $90,000 on Binance at any point during June. Because the rule uses one-minute candles and an intramonth high, even a brief spike on BTC/USDT is enough to settle it "Yes," which makes the month’s peak price more important than the closing level on June 30.
The event is specifically tied to Bitcoin’s BTC/USDT pair on Binance, not Bitcoin prices on other exchanges or in other trading pairs. The market resolves "Yes" if any 1-minute candle from 12:00 a.m. ET on June 1 through 11:59 p.m. ET on June 30 shows a final high of at least $90,000; otherwise it resolves "No." The deadline shown on the market page is July 1 at 04:00 UTC, which corresponds to the end of June in U.S. Eastern Time.
The question is whether Bitcoin can reach a round-number threshold that often serves as a psychological milestone for traders and observers. The uncertainty is not about Bitcoin’s long-run direction, but about whether a Binance-reported intramonth high will touch the specified level before the month ends. That makes the market sensitive to short-lived rallies, sharp volatility, and any price move that briefly pushes BTC/USDT to the target.
The price can move quickly if Bitcoin approaches the $90,000 area on Binance, because the market only needs one qualifying one-minute candle to resolve in favor of "Yes." A strong breakout, a fast liquidation-driven spike, or any sharp intraday rally during June would matter more here than gradual trend changes. Conversely, if Bitcoin stays well below the threshold as the month progresses, the contract typically reflects the shrinking window for a qualifying high.
The current market price implies roughly a 1% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
+18.2%
24h Vol
$275K
Liquidity
$19.2K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketReaders should verify the exact resolution rule: Binance BTC/USDT, one-minute candles, and the candle high are the source of truth, not the last traded price, not a different exchange, and not a different timeframe. The key ambiguity to watch is whether Binance’s chart data for the month ever prints a one-minute high at or above $90,000 before the June 30 ET cutoff. The current market shows very heavy skepticism about a June touch, along with a tight bid-ask spread and meaningful trading volume, so the contract can still react quickly if Bitcoin nears the stated level late in the month.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June?. The market currently shows a live probability of 1%, $16.2K in 24h volume, and $52.9K in liquidity.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Yes
0.8%
No
99.3%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jul 1, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 1%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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