crypto
🔥 Hot⚡ Tight
55%
+18.2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
24h Vol
$275K
Liquidity
$19.2K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in June?. The market currently shows a live probability of 1%, $8.3K in 24h volume, and $65.1K in liquidity.
Probability
1%
24h Volume
$8.3K
Liquidity
$65.1K
This market asks whether Bitcoin’s BTC/USDT trading pair on Binance will print a one-minute candle with a high of at least $92,500 at any point during June 2026. It is a price-threshold market, so the key question is not where Bitcoin finishes the month, but whether it briefly trades high enough on Binance’s 1-minute chart before the month ends.
The title sets a clear target: Bitcoin reaching $92,500 in June. Under the rules, the market resolves to Yes if any Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle from June 1 through June 30, 2026, has a final High price at or above $92,500; otherwise it resolves to No. The resolution source is Binance’s BTC/USDT chart with the 1m timeframe, so the exact exchange and candle setting matter more than broader spot averages or prices elsewhere.
Bitcoin can move sharply within minutes, especially around major macro headlines, exchange flows, or risk-on/risk-off swings in crypto markets. A round number like $92,500 is also the kind of level traders watch for momentum, resistance, and breakout behavior, which makes it a natural point of disagreement about whether the market will touch it in a given month. The market is pricing a very specific intramonth spike on Binance, not a long-term view of Bitcoin’s value.
Large BTC moves on Binance can be driven by sudden changes in sentiment, liquidation cascades, sharp futures activity, or big moves in the broader crypto market. Because the rule only needs one one-minute candle high to reach the threshold, even a brief wick above $92,500 would be enough to flip the outcome. News tied to Bitcoin ETF flows, macroeconomic surprises, exchange-specific volatility, or strong momentum through nearby price levels could all matter if they push BTC quickly upward.
The current market price implies roughly a 1% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
+18.2%
24h Vol
$275K
Liquidity
$19.2K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketReaders should watch the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute chart, because only that source and timeframe count for settlement. The most important detail is the candle high, not the closing price, and other exchanges, spot references, or different trading pairs do not matter under these rules. The market ends at 11:59 PM ET on June 30, 2026, so any qualifying high must occur before that deadline; if Binance data or chart settings are ambiguous, the resolution text points back to the Binance BTC/USDT 1m high as the source of truth.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in June?. The market currently shows a live probability of 1%, $8.3K in 24h volume, and $65.1K in liquidity.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Yes
0.5%
No
99.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jul 1, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 1%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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