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Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
24h Vol
$126.9K
Liquidity
$51K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketCulture
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of June 13?. The market currently shows a live probability of 24%, $513.3 in 24h volume, and $197.3 in liquidity.
Probability
24%
24h Volume
$513.3
Liquidity
$197.3
This market asks whether “Choosin' Texas” by Ella Langley will reach No. 1 on Billboard’s Hot 100 for the chart week of June 13, 2026. It’s a straightforward test of whether one specific song can finish the tracking week at the top of the main U.S. singles chart, with Billboard’s official chart published as the source of truth.
The outcome depends on the song listed in the No. 1 spot on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of June 13, 2026.” Billboard’s chart title refers to the upcoming Saturday date attached to that weekly chart, while the actual ranking is usually published on Tuesday and reflects sales, streams, and radio activity from the prior Friday-through-Thursday tracking period. If “Choosin' Texas” is the top song on that specific chart, the market resolves Yes; if another song leads the chart, it resolves No.
Ella Langley’s song is being judged against a crowded, fast-moving singles chart where a track can climb quickly but still miss the top spot. The uncertainty comes from how Billboard combines multiple forms of consumption across a single week, which can reward sustained popularity, a strong release burst, or broad radio and streaming momentum. Readers watching this market are essentially asking whether this song can outrun competing hits by the time the June 13 chart is finalized.
Anything that changes the song’s commercial momentum before Billboard publishes the chart can matter: a surge in streaming, strong digital sales, or radio gains can improve its odds, while another song breaking out in the same tracking week can push it down. Release timing is also important because Billboard’s Friday-to-Thursday tracking window can favor songs that benefit from a full week of activity. Since the market closes shortly before the expected chart publication window, last-minute chart chatter and the eventual official Billboard posting are the key events that can settle the question.
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24h Vol
$126.9K
Liquidity
$51K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 24% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The most important thing to verify is the official Billboard Hot 100 chart for the week of June 13, 2026, since that is the only resolution source. Watch for the published chart title, the No. 1 entry, and whether the chart appears on Billboard’s website or another official Billboard channel; if the chart is delayed beyond the market’s stated cutoff, the rules say it can resolve to Other. Because the market is tied to a specific dated chart, the main ambiguity risk is not the song itself but whether Billboard publishes that exact week’s chart on schedule and with the expected title.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of June 13?. The market currently shows a live probability of 24%, $513.3 in 24h volume, and $197.3 in liquidity.
Track live culture prediction markets focused on entertainment, celebrity events, streaming trends, viral topics, movies, music, and global pop culture developments.
Yes
23.5%
No
76.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 10, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of June 13, 2026”. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 24%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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