economy
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
0%
-0.1%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
24h Vol
$1.4M
Liquidity
$2.3M
Spread
0%
6/17/2026
View marketPolitics
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?. The market currently shows a live probability of 1%, $3.2K in 24h volume, and $1.6M in liquidity.
Probability
1%
24h Volume
$3.2K
Liquidity
$1.6M
This market asks whether Cory Booker will be the Democratic Party’s nominee for president in 2028 and go on to accept that nomination. Booker is a long-serving U.S. senator from New Jersey, so this is really a question about how the Democratic field, party rules, and nomination process may evolve over the next presidential cycle.
The outcome is tied to one specific event: Cory Booker winning and accepting the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination. The market will not resolve based on campaigning alone, poll movement, or whether he briefly becomes a frontrunner; it hinges on the official nomination decision and acceptance. The stated resolution source is a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, and the deadline shown on the page is November 7, 2028.
The uncertainty here comes from the fact that the Democratic nominee for 2028 is not yet chosen, and several steps have to happen before any one person can win it: primaries, delegate selection, and the party’s formal nomination process. Booker is a recognizable national figure, but the market is asking whether he can actually secure the party’s formal endorsement, not simply whether he remains in the conversation. The market is pricing disagreement about his odds of emerging from a crowded and still-open nomination contest.
This market can move on official developments that change Booker’s standing for the nomination, such as an announcement that he is running, major endorsements, delegate rules, or the emergence of other leading candidates. Party statements, convention rules, and any formal nomination or withdrawal developments would matter most because the market resolves from official Democratic Party sources. The contract wording also says that if the Democratic nominee is replaced before election day, that replacement does not change this market’s resolution, so the focus stays on whether Booker himself becomes the named nominee and accepts it.
Related markets
-0.1%
24h Vol
$1.4M
Liquidity
$2.3M
Spread
0%
6/17/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 1% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Readers should watch the official Democratic Party nomination process, especially who is officially nominated and whether that nominee accepts. The key ambiguity is that this market is about Booker specifically, so a different Democratic nominee, even if selected later, does not count as a win for this contract unless Booker is the one named and accepting the nomination. Before the 2028 deadline, the most important source of truth is the party’s official records and convention outcome, not informal speculation or media commentary.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?. The market currently shows a live probability of 1%, $3.2K in 24h volume, and $1.6M in liquidity.
Track political prediction markets, election probabilities, and real-time political forecasting trends across major global events and government decisions.
Yes
1%
No
99.1%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Nov 7, 2028. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 1%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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