Will Cuba recognize Israel by June 30

Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Cuba recognize Israel by June 30. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $52.8K in 24h volume, and $16.6K in liquidity.

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This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.