
+9.4%
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
24h Vol
$146K
Liquidity
$138.1K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketFinance
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by June 30, 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 2%, $1.3K in 24h volume, and $3.1K in liquidity.
Probability
2%
24h Volume
$1.3K
Liquidity
$3.1K
This market asks whether Elon Musk will post the exact term “Hyperliquid” on X before the end of June 30, 2026. Because the resolution depends on a specific word appearing in a specific account’s posts, the key issue is not Musk’s views on the topic but whether that exact text shows up in the right place before the deadline.
The market resolves “Yes” if @elonmusk posts the term “Hyperliquid” in a main-feed post, quote post, or reply by 11:59 PM ET on June 30, 2026. It does not count reposts, and it only counts the word when it is spelled out clearly enough to match the stated rules, including acceptable capitalization and simple plural or possessive forms. The deadline matters because anything posted after that cutoff, even a few minutes later, would not qualify.
Hyperliquid is a crypto trading venue, so the market is essentially asking whether Musk will mention that name on a tightly defined timeline. Musk’s posts can be highly influential and often attract attention across tech, finance, and crypto circles, which makes even a single word in one post worth watching. The uncertainty is about future behavior: there is no fixed schedule for what he will tweet, and the market is pricing the chance that the term appears in qualifying text before the deadline.
A qualifying post, reply, or quote post from @elonmusk containing “Hyperliquid” would move the market sharply toward “Yes.” Price can also react to any broader pattern that makes a mention more or less likely, such as Musk discussing crypto trading, exchanges, or related products in the run-up to the deadline. Because the rules are text-specific, a post that references Hyperliquid only through an image, a meme, or a non-qualifying repost would not count and could leave the market unchanged.
The current market price implies roughly a 2% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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+9.4%
24h Vol
$146K
Liquidity
$138.1K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketWatch the exact account handle, the form of the post, and the timestamp against the June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET cutoff. The resolution rules say text in the main feed, quote posts, and replies can count, but reposts do not, so readers should verify the post type as well as the wording. The main ambiguity risk is whether the word appears clearly enough in text form, especially if it is embedded in media or stylized in a way that does not meet the spelling rules.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by June 30, 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 2%, $1.3K in 24h volume, and $3.1K in liquidity.
Track live finance prediction markets focused on interest rates, inflation, stock market events, central bank decisions, and global financial forecasting trends.
Yes
1.5%
No
98.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jul 1, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if https://x.com/elonmusk posts the listed term by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in main feed posts, quote posts, and reply posts count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts and reposts will not count. Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.) Any plural or possessive forms of the listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count. Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: H@perl1quid, for "Hyperliquid") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution. Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: Hyperliquidd or Hyperliqid, for "Hyperliquid"), will not count toward a "Yes" resolution, regardless of context or intent. Instances where the listed term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). Posts published from https://x.com/elonmusk during a period in which the account is verifiably compromised or hacked, as confirmed by Elon Musk or X, do not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be Elon Musk's verified X account: https://x.com/elonmusk Please note, only the https://x.com/elonmusk verified X account counts for this market. If Elon Musk posts from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 2%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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