economy
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
0%
-0.1%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
24h Vol
$1.4M
Liquidity
$2.3M
Spread
0%
6/17/2026
View marketPolitics
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Enrique Valderrama win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $266.1K in 24h volume, and $245.2K in liquidity.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$266.1K
Liquidity
$245.2K
This market asks whether Enrique Valderrama will be the winner of Peru’s 2026 presidential election, including any runoff. Peru’s general election is scheduled for April 12, 2026, and the result will ultimately depend on the official presidential tally, not just the first round.
The specific question is whether Enrique Valderrama is the candidate who ends up winning Peru’s next presidential election. The market rules say to include any potential second round, so a runoff victory counts the same as a first-round win. If the result is not definitively known by October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to "Other," and any ambiguity is settled using the official results from Peru’s electoral authorities, especially ONPE and JNE.
Peru’s presidential contests can be uncertain because a candidate may lead in the first round without winning outright, forcing a second round and extending the path to a final winner. That creates a live question not just about whether Valderrama runs, but whether he can survive the field, reach the runoff if needed, and then win the official count. Readers following this market are really watching whether his candidacy becomes the final certified winner of the election under Peru’s rules.
Anything that changes Valderrama’s path to the presidency can move this market: official confirmation that he is running, alliance-building, a strong or weak first-round showing, and whether he is positioned to reach a runoff. Official campaign announcements, candidate disqualifications, withdrawals, or endorsements can also matter because they reshape the field before April 12. After election day, ONPE and JNE updates on first-round totals, runoff qualification, and the final certified winner are the main price-moving developments.
The current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
-0.1%
24h Vol
$1.4M
Liquidity
$2.3M
Spread
0%
6/17/2026
View marketBefore this market resolves, readers should check the election calendar, whether a second round is required, and the final certified result from ONPE and JNE. The crucial detail is the name attached to the official winner of the presidential race, because the market resolves on the elected president after any runoff, not on polling or early projections. It is also worth noting the market’s separate time rule: if the result is still not known by October 31, 2026, it resolves to Other.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Enrique Valderrama win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $266.1K in 24h volume, and $245.2K in liquidity.
Track political prediction markets, election probabilities, and real-time political forecasting trends across major global events and government decisions.
Yes
0.1%
No
100%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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