
+9.8%
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
24h Vol
$144.6K
Liquidity
$144.5K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketFinance
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $13.25B by June 30?. The market currently shows a live probability of 34%, and $43.3 in liquidity.
Probability
34%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$43.3
This market asks whether Epic Games’ private valuation will reach at least $13.25 billion at any point before June 30, 2026, using the NPM Price published by Nasdaq Private Market. Epic is a major video game and software company, so this market is mainly about whether its private-market pricing holds up or moves higher over the rest of the period.
The resolution depends on the private-market valuation for Epic Games reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC, not on headlines or informal estimates. If NPM publishes a valuation for any trading day between market creation and June 30, 2026 that is at or above $13.25 billion, the market resolves Yes; otherwise it resolves No. The rules also say that if Epic goes public through an IPO or direct listing before the deadline, the market can use the implied IPO price and later public-market capitalization as part of the check.
Epic Games is not a publicly traded company, so its valuation is less visible than a listed stock and can change based on private transactions and NPM’s daily pricing process. That creates uncertainty around whether the company’s reported value will ever cross the $13.25 billion line during the window. The market is effectively pricing disagreement over how strong Epic’s private valuation will be, and whether any new pricing data, an IPO, or a direct listing could push it over the threshold.
A new NPM Price update showing a valuation at or above $13.25 billion would be the clearest reason for the market to move toward Yes. Any sign that Epic is approaching a public listing, or that a listing price implies a valuation above the threshold, could also change how traders view the outcome because the rules explicitly include IPO or direct-listing pricing. On the other hand, continued NPM prints below the cutoff, or a lack of new valuation data, would make a Yes outcome harder to justify.
Related markets

+9.8%
24h Vol
$144.6K
Liquidity
$144.5K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 34% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The key source of truth is the NPM Price from Nasdaq Private Market, and those updates are only published on trading days, usually the following calendar day at 1:00 PM ET. Readers should also watch whether Epic completes an IPO or direct listing before June 30, 2026, since that would change which valuation references count under the rules. If NPM stops publishing relevant data, the market can still resolve from the available period data and any public-market valuation after a listing, so the exact cutoff language matters as much as the date itself.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $13.25B by June 30?. The market currently shows a live probability of 34%, and $43.3 in liquidity.
Track live finance prediction markets focused on interest rates, inflation, stock market events, central bank decisions, and global financial forecasting trends.
Yes
33.5%
No
66.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jul 1, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Epic Games' private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for any date between market creation and June 30, 2026, reaches or exceeds the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day. If NPM has not published relevant data for all business dates in the specified period by 1:00 PM ET on July 1, 2026, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on July 4, 2026. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available. If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published for the period prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as any applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing. If the company completes an IPO or direct listing before the end of the specified period, this market will consider, in addition to the relevant NPM valuations published between market creation and the IPO or direct listing date, the valuation implied by the official IPO or direct listing price, and the company's public market capitalization between the IPO or direct listing date and the end of the specified period. Public market capitalization will be determined using the highest/lowest official regular-hours trading price published for the company's primary listed common equity on its primary exchange for any trading day during the specified period, multiplied by the company's total outstanding common shares at the relevant time. If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies. If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, only NPM valuations and applicable public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution. The resolution source for this market is NPM data published here: (https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-625e5f47-7ff7-45c4-be95-0305665164bd/data). The resolution source for any period following an IPO, direct listing, or relevant corporate action, will be official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts. Revisions to previously published NPM data made after their initial release will not be considered, unless made to correct clearly erroneous data.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 34%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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