
+9.8%
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
24h Vol
$144.6K
Liquidity
$143K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketFinance
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $13.5B by June 30?. The market currently shows a live probability of 24%, $1.7K in 24h volume, and $386.7 in liquidity.
Probability
24%
24h Volume
$1.7K
Liquidity
$386.7
This market is about whether Epic Games’ private valuation, as reported by Nasdaq Private Market’s NPM Price, will reach at least $13.5 billion by June 30, 2026. Epic is a closely watched private company because its value can shift on secondary-market transactions, company events, or a future public listing. The contract is tied to a specific published valuation source, so the key issue is not opinion about the business broadly, but whether that reported figure crosses the stated threshold within the window.
The question here is simple: will Epic Games’ NPM-reported private market valuation hit $13.5 billion at any point from market creation through June 30, 2026? The market resolves using NPM Prices published by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC, which are released for trading days and posted the following day at 1:00 PM ET. If Epic goes public through an IPO or direct listing before the end date, the rules say the resolution can also use the official offer price and later public market capitalization, not just the private-market NPM figures.
Epic Games is a major private technology and gaming company, so its valuation can be hard to pin down and may move depending on sparse private-market data rather than a single daily stock price. That creates a meaningful threshold question: does the reported valuation ever reach the listed level before the deadline, or does it stay below it? Readers watching this market are mainly trying to judge whether the published valuation data, or a public-listing event, will push the company to or above the cutoff.
The most direct movers are new NPM Price publications that show Epic at or above $13.5 billion, since the contract resolves on the first qualifying date in the period. A private financing round, a meaningful secondary transaction reflected in NPM data, or a public listing can all matter because the rules explicitly allow IPO or direct-listing pricing and subsequent public market value to count. If there are no new NPM updates for a stretch, that can also matter indirectly because the market may have to rely on the last available data if coverage stops or lags.
Related markets

+9.8%
24h Vol
$144.6K
Liquidity
$143K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 24% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The main thing to verify is the official NPM Price for Epic Games on each trading day through June 30, 2026, because the market uses that published source as the resolution standard. Watch the timing carefully: NPM data is posted the next calendar day at 1:00 PM ET, and the contract can stay open into July if the relevant business-day data has not all been published yet. If Epic completes an IPO or direct listing, check the official listing price and any subsequent public market capitalization, since those can become part of the resolution criteria under the rules.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $13.5B by June 30?. The market currently shows a live probability of 24%, $1.7K in 24h volume, and $386.7 in liquidity.
Track live finance prediction markets focused on interest rates, inflation, stock market events, central bank decisions, and global financial forecasting trends.
Yes
24%
No
76%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jul 1, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Epic Games' private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for any date between market creation and June 30, 2026, reaches or exceeds the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day. If NPM has not published relevant data for all business dates in the specified period by 1:00 PM ET on July 1, 2026, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on July 4, 2026. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available. If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published for the period prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as any applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing. If the company completes an IPO or direct listing before the end of the specified period, this market will consider, in addition to the relevant NPM valuations published between market creation and the IPO or direct listing date, the valuation implied by the official IPO or direct listing price, and the company's public market capitalization between the IPO or direct listing date and the end of the specified period. Public market capitalization will be determined using the highest/lowest official regular-hours trading price published for the company's primary listed common equity on its primary exchange for any trading day during the specified period, multiplied by the company's total outstanding common shares at the relevant time. If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies. If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, only NPM valuations and applicable public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution. The resolution source for this market is NPM data published here: (https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-625e5f47-7ff7-45c4-be95-0305665164bd/data). The resolution source for any period following an IPO, direct listing, or relevant corporate action, will be official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts. Revisions to previously published NPM data made after their initial release will not be considered, unless made to correct clearly erroneous data.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 24%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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