
+9.8%
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
24h Vol
$144.6K
Liquidity
$144.5K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketFinance
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $17.5B by June 30?. The market currently shows a live probability of 21%, $63.3 in 24h volume, and $190.8 in liquidity.
Probability
21%
24h Volume
$63.3
Liquidity
$190.8
This market asks whether Epic Games’ private valuation will reach at least $17.5 billion at any point before the June 30, 2026 cutoff. It is worth watching because the resolution depends on a specific valuation source — Nasdaq Private Market’s reported NPM Price — rather than on headlines, rumors, or a general sense of the company’s fortunes.
The question is narrowly framed around Epic Games, the maker of Fortnite and the Unreal Engine, and whether its private-market valuation will hit the stated threshold by June 30. The market resolves using the NPM Price published by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC for any trading day from market creation through the deadline, with updates posted once daily for trading days only. If Epic goes public before then, the rules also allow the official IPO or direct-listing price, and the company’s public market capitalization afterward, to count toward resolution.
Epic Games is a large, closely watched private company, so its reported valuation can move around based on investor demand, funding terms, or a transition toward public markets. The uncertainty here is not about whether Epic is a well-known company, but about whether an officially published private-market data point will cross the specific $17.5 billion line before the deadline. That makes the market a focused test of valuation momentum rather than a broad guess about the company’s long-term business.
The biggest price-moving development would be an NPM Price print at or above $17.5 billion, since that alone would satisfy the market’s condition. A new private financing, secondary transaction, or any other event that affects Nasdaq Private Market’s reported valuation could matter if it changes the published NPM Price. An IPO or direct listing would also be important because the rules say the official offering price and later public market capitalization may be used if Epic becomes public before June 30.
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+9.8%
24h Vol
$144.6K
Liquidity
$144.5K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 21% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Readers should watch for the daily NPM Price updates and check the exact date each figure applies to, since the published number is for trading days and arrives the following day at 1:00 PM ET. The key source of truth is the NPM data referenced in the rules, not press coverage or informal estimates. It is also important to verify whether Epic Games remains private through the deadline, because the resolution rules change if the company completes an IPO or direct listing before June 30, 2026.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $17.5B by June 30?. The market currently shows a live probability of 21%, $63.3 in 24h volume, and $190.8 in liquidity.
Track live finance prediction markets focused on interest rates, inflation, stock market events, central bank decisions, and global financial forecasting trends.
Yes
20.5%
No
79.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jul 1, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Epic Games' private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for any date between market creation and June 30, 2026, reaches or exceeds the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day. If NPM has not published relevant data for all business dates in the specified period by 1:00 PM ET on July 1, 2026, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on July 4, 2026. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available. If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published for the period prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as any applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing. If the company completes an IPO or direct listing before the end of the specified period, this market will consider, in addition to the relevant NPM valuations published between market creation and the IPO or direct listing date, the valuation implied by the official IPO or direct listing price, and the company's public market capitalization between the IPO or direct listing date and the end of the specified period. Public market capitalization will be determined using the highest/lowest official regular-hours trading price published for the company's primary listed common equity on its primary exchange for any trading day during the specified period, multiplied by the company's total outstanding common shares at the relevant time. If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies. If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, only NPM valuations and applicable public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution. The resolution source for this market is NPM data published here: (https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-625e5f47-7ff7-45c4-be95-0305665164bd/data). The resolution source for any period following an IPO, direct listing, or relevant corporate action, will be official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts. Revisions to previously published NPM data made after their initial release will not be considered, unless made to correct clearly erroneous data.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 21%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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