
+9.8%
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
24h Vol
$144.6K
Liquidity
$144.5K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketFinance
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by June 30?. The market currently shows a live probability of 4%, $624.9 in 24h volume, and $152.7 in liquidity.
Probability
4%
24h Volume
$624.9
Liquidity
$152.7
This market asks whether Epic Games’ private valuation will reach at least $20 billion at any point from market creation through June 30, 2026. Epic is a closely watched video game and technology company, so this question matters because its valuation can reflect how investors are pricing its business, products, and growth prospects. The market is tied to published valuation data rather than rumors or day-to-day trading noise.
Resolution depends on the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC for Epic Games. If that published private market valuation is at or above $20 billion on any trading day in the covered window, the market resolves Yes; otherwise it resolves No. The key date is June 30, 2026, and the market’s own rules also cover what happens if NPM data is delayed, stops being published, or if Epic goes public through an IPO or direct listing before then.
Epic Games is a private company, so its valuation is not set by a public stock price and can change based on private-market activity, company performance, and broader tech sentiment. That creates uncertainty over whether a published NPM valuation will ever cross the $20 billion threshold during the period. Readers following this market are really watching whether the company’s reported private-market worth reaches that line before the deadline.
The most direct driver is any new NPM valuation print for Epic Games, since the market resolves from that published figure. If Epic were to complete an IPO or direct listing, the official deal price and any subsequent public market capitalization would also become relevant under the rules. News that affects investor demand for private shares, or that changes expectations around a public listing, would matter only insofar as it could show up in the NPM data or the listed fallback rules.
Related markets

+9.8%
24h Vol
$144.6K
Liquidity
$144.5K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 4% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The main source of truth is the NPM Price for Epic Games, published on trading days and updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET the following calendar day. Readers should check whether NPM has published all relevant business dates by July 1, 2026, and note that the market can remain open until July 4, 2026 if reporting is incomplete. If Epic goes public before the deadline, verify how the IPO or direct-listing price and later public market capitalization are treated under the market rules, since those figures can affect the final outcome.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by June 30?. The market currently shows a live probability of 4%, $624.9 in 24h volume, and $152.7 in liquidity.
Track live finance prediction markets focused on interest rates, inflation, stock market events, central bank decisions, and global financial forecasting trends.
Yes
4%
No
96%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jul 1, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Epic Games' private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for any date between market creation and June 30, 2026, reaches or exceeds the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day. If NPM has not published relevant data for all business dates in the specified period by 1:00 PM ET on July 1, 2026, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on July 4, 2026. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available. If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published for the period prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as any applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing. If the company completes an IPO or direct listing before the end of the specified period, this market will consider, in addition to the relevant NPM valuations published between market creation and the IPO or direct listing date, the valuation implied by the official IPO or direct listing price, and the company's public market capitalization between the IPO or direct listing date and the end of the specified period. Public market capitalization will be determined using the highest/lowest official regular-hours trading price published for the company's primary listed common equity on its primary exchange for any trading day during the specified period, multiplied by the company's total outstanding common shares at the relevant time. If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies. If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, only NPM valuations and applicable public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution. The resolution source for this market is NPM data published here: (https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-625e5f47-7ff7-45c4-be95-0305665164bd/data). The resolution source for any period following an IPO, direct listing, or relevant corporate action, will be official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts. Revisions to previously published NPM data made after their initial release will not be considered, unless made to correct clearly erroneous data.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 4%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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