crypto
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
0%
-3.4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 6?
24h Vol
$376.6K
Liquidity
$115K
Spread
0%
6/6/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 on June 6?. The market currently shows a live probability of 16%, $10.8K in 24h volume, and $6.1K in liquidity.
Probability
16%
24h Volume
$10.8K
Liquidity
$6.1K
This market asks whether Ethereum’s ETH/USDT trading pair on Binance will print a one-minute candle low at or below $1,500 on June 6. Because the rule looks only at Binance’s minute-by-minute low price, even a brief wick matters, not just where ETH finishes the day. That makes this a tightly defined price-threshold event rather than a general question about Ethereum’s daily direction.
The event is tied to Ethereum, the native asset of the Ethereum network, and the specific Binance ETH/USDT market. Resolution depends on whether any 1-minute candle on June 6, between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET, has a final Low price of $1,500 or less. If that happens once, the market resolves Yes; if not, it resolves No, and only Binance’s ETH/USDT chart is used.
A round-number level like $1,500 is often watched closely because it can act as a psychological support zone and a trigger for stop orders or short-term volatility. Traders may disagree about whether ETH can briefly test that level during the day, especially when the market is moving quickly or liquidity is uneven. The market is really pricing the chance of a short-lived intraday drop, not whether Ethereum ends the day below that price.
The main price drivers here are any sudden moves in ETH itself, especially sharp selling that pushes a Binance candle low through the threshold. Liquidity conditions on Binance matter too, because thin order books can create temporary wicks that satisfy the rule even if broader market prices look higher elsewhere. Any broader crypto market swing, large exchange flows, or fast volatility around the day’s trading window could change the odds of touching $1,500.
The current market price implies roughly a 16% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
-3.4%
24h Vol
$376.6K
Liquidity
$115K
Spread
0%
6/6/2026
View marketReaders should check the exact resolution rule: only Binance ETH/USDT, only 1-minute candles, and only the final Low price on June 6 ET. The market ends around 11:59 PM ET on June 6, with resolution following the Binance data source, so the key ambiguity is not the closing price but whether any minute’s low touched the threshold. If Binance chart settings, time zone, or the definition of the candle low are unclear, those are the details to verify before the market settles.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 on June 6?. The market currently shows a live probability of 16%, $10.8K in 24h volume, and $6.1K in liquidity.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Yes
15.5%
No
84.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) on the date specified in the title, between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 16%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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