crypto
🔥 Hot⚡ Tight
56%
+16.5%
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
24h Vol
$281.5K
Liquidity
$31.7K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 5%, $634.4 in 24h volume, and $24.5K in liquidity.
Probability
5%
24h Volume
$634.4
Liquidity
$24.5K
This market asks whether Ethereum’s ETH/USDT price on Binance will print a one-minute candle high of $5,500 or more before the end of 2026. Because the rule keys off a specific exchange feed and a specific candle type, the question is not just whether ETH trades near that level somewhere, but whether Binance records it in the required window.
The event is about Ethereum, the second-largest crypto asset by market value and the native token of the Ethereum network, reaching a listed threshold of $5,500 on Binance’s ETH/USDT pair. Resolution depends on the Binance chart’s 1-minute candles, with any candle high from November 24, 2025 at 14:00 ET through December 31, 2026 at 23:59 ET counting for a “Yes.” The market resolves from Binance’s ETH/USDT trading data only; prices on other exchanges or other pairs do not matter.
A $5,500 ETH print is a clean milestone that reflects how far Ethereum can climb over the covered period and whether momentum is strong enough to hit a new local or cycle-high zone. Traders may disagree because ETH can move sharply on broad crypto risk appetite, network upgrades, ETF or regulatory headlines, and general market liquidity, while still failing to touch the exact Binance high needed by the rule. The split between the current bids and asks also suggests there is uncertainty about whether the threshold will be reached within the specified window.
The price can move quickly if Ethereum gets a strong rally in the wider crypto market, if risk assets firm up, or if demand for ETH accelerates around major protocol developments or staking-related narratives. Exchange-specific mechanics matter here too: because the market resolves on Binance’s ETH/USDT 1-minute high, a brief spike on that venue can decide the outcome even if the broader market does not stay at that level. Any headline that changes expectations for Ethereum usage, ETF access, regulation, or crypto market liquidity could matter, but only insofar as it affects the Binance spot price inside the resolution period.
Related markets
+16.5%
24h Vol
$281.5K
Liquidity
$31.7K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 5% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Readers should check the exact resolution rule: Binance ETH/USDT, 1-minute candles, and the candle “High” value are the only source of truth. The most important details to verify are the timezone window, the title threshold of $5,500, and whether a single qualifying candle is enough, because this market resolves immediately to Yes if that happens even once. Ambiguity is low, but the main risk is confusing Binance data with other exchanges, futures prices, or broader market charts that will not count.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 5%, $634.4 in 24h volume, and $24.5K in liquidity.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Yes
5.1%
No
94.9%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jan 1, 2027. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT “High” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 5%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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