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Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
24h Vol
$538.1K
Liquidity
$258.9K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View marketFinance
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Fannie Mae not IPO by June 30, 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 98%, $1.6K in 24h volume, and $7.5K in liquidity.
Probability
98%
24h Volume
$1.6K
Liquidity
$7.5K
This market is asking whether Fannie Mae will still not have an IPO by June 30, 2026. Fannie Mae is one of the best-known names in U.S. housing finance, so any move toward a public listing would be a major event for investors and policymakers alike.
The market resolves on whether Fannie Mae has its first day of trading by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no IPO happens by then, it resolves to “No IPO by June 30, 2026.” If an IPO does occur, the market uses the company’s market capitalization at the closing price on that first trading day, based on the primary exchange’s official listing page or another reliable source if needed.
Fannie Mae has a long history as a government-related mortgage finance company, so a public offering would depend on major structural and regulatory decisions, not just ordinary company timing. That makes the date meaningful: readers are watching whether the company remains unlisted through the deadline or whether a listing process advances enough to reach the public markets.
Price can move on any credible sign that an IPO is being scheduled, delayed, or shelved, especially if there are official filings, listing announcements, or other concrete steps toward public trading. It can also move if the market senses that June 30, 2026 is coming and no listing appears likely, because the resolution depends simply on whether an IPO happens by that deadline. If trading is interrupted on the first day, the rules say the official closing price of the abbreviated session, or the next day with an official close if needed, will be used.
The current market price implies roughly a 98% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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24h Vol
$538.1K
Liquidity
$258.9K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View marketThe key thing to verify is whether Fannie Mae actually has a first day of trading before the deadline, since that alone determines the outcome if no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026. If an IPO does happen, readers should look for the primary exchange’s official listing page and the official closing price, because that is the source of truth for resolution. The rules also say that if the closing value falls exactly between two brackets, the higher bracket wins, and if the first session is shortened or disrupted, the official close for that session — or the next trading day with an official close — controls.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Fannie Mae not IPO by June 30, 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 98%, $1.6K in 24h volume, and $7.5K in liquidity.
Track live finance prediction markets focused on interest rates, inflation, stock market events, central bank decisions, and global financial forecasting trends.
Yes
97.9%
No
2.1%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 30, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve based on Fannie Mae's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Fannie Mae’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 98%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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