
--
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
24h Vol
$538.1K
Liquidity
$258.9K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View marketFinance
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Fannie Mae’s market cap be between $200B and $250B at market close on IPO day?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $1.5K in 24h volume, and $8.7K in liquidity.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$1.5K
Liquidity
$8.7K
This market is about whether Fannie Mae’s first day as a public company would finish with a market value between $200 billion and $250 billion. That makes it a very specific test of how the IPO is priced and how the stock trades by the close on day one. The June 30, 2026 deadline matters because the market also has a separate outcome if no IPO happens by then.
The question is simple: if Fannie Mae lists on an exchange, will its market capitalization at the closing price on the first trading day land in the $200B to $250B range? Fannie Mae is a major housing finance name in the U.S., so its IPO would be closely watched and the closing valuation would depend on the final share count and the official end-of-day price. If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, this market resolves to the “No IPO by June 30, 2026” outcome instead.
There is uncertainty about both timing and valuation. Even if Fannie Mae does go public, the first-day market cap could come in below, inside, or above this band depending on the offer structure, investor demand, and how the stock trades after listing. Readers care because this is not just a yes-or-no IPO question; it is specifically asking whether the company’s opening public valuation is large enough to fit a narrow bracket.
Price can move on any filing, pricing notice, exchange listing update, or official statement that clarifies whether an IPO is actually moving forward. The biggest valuation clues will be the number of shares offered, the initial offering price, any change in the float, and the first official closing price on the listing day. If trading is interrupted or the first session is shortened, the market will follow the official closing price for that abbreviated session, so those exchange announcements also matter.
Related markets

--
24h Vol
$538.1K
Liquidity
$258.9K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The key source of truth is the primary exchange’s official listing page, with another reliable source used only if the needed figure is not shown there. Readers should verify whether an IPO has actually occurred by the June 30, 2026 deadline, because that determines whether the market resolves on valuation or on the no-IPO outcome. It is also worth checking whether the first official close is for the initial trading day or, if needed under the rules, the next day with an official closing price, since that can decide how the market resolves.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Fannie Mae’s market cap be between $200B and $250B at market close on IPO day?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $1.5K in 24h volume, and $8.7K in liquidity.
Track live finance prediction markets focused on interest rates, inflation, stock market events, central bank decisions, and global financial forecasting trends.
Yes
0.2%
No
99.9%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 30, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve based on Fannie Mae's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Fannie Mae’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

+12.3%
24h Vol
$163.4K
Liquidity
$195.3K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View market
--
24h Vol
$76K
Liquidity
$46.1K
Spread
1%
7/1/2026
View market
0%
24h Vol
$32.8K
Liquidity
$125.1K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View market
-0.4%
24h Vol
$17.3K
Liquidity
$27.1K
Spread
1%
Live
View market
+1%
24h Vol
$29.4K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View market