economy
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
0%
-0.1%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
24h Vol
$1.4M
Liquidity
$2.3M
Spread
0%
6/17/2026
View marketPolitics
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?. The market currently shows a live probability of 1%, $41.5K in 24h volume, and $2.3M in liquidity.
Probability
1%
24h Volume
$41.5K
Liquidity
$2.3M
This market asks whether George Clooney will be the Democratic Party’s nominee for president in 2028. It is a specific and unusual nomination question because Clooney is widely known as an actor and public figure, not as a conventional elected politician, so the market is really about whether the party would ever formally choose him. The contract runs until the 2028 election cycle is resolved, with the key cutoff tied to the Democratic nomination itself rather than the general election.
The outcome is simple: it resolves to “Yes” only if George Clooney wins and accepts the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination. The resolution source is a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, so the page is about the party’s formal nomination process, not media speculation or informal endorsements. The rules also say that if the Democratic nominee is replaced before election day, that replacement does not change this market’s outcome, which makes the original nomination the decisive event.
There is uncertainty because presidential nominations are controlled by party rules, delegates, and convention outcomes, and even highly unlikely contenders can become subjects of speculation. George Clooney’s name adds another layer because he is famous enough to attract attention, but fame alone does not make someone a nominee; the party would still need to formally choose him. The market is pricing disagreement over whether such an outcome is merely implausible or still technically possible under the Democratic nomination process.
Any official Democratic Party development that clarifies the 2028 nomination process could matter, especially if party leaders, delegates, or convention rules make the path narrower or broader for unconventional candidates. Statements from Clooney himself about running, accepting a nomination, or declining interest would also be relevant, since acceptance is part of the resolution wording. Because the market depends on official party sources, formal nomination procedures, delegate math, and convention decisions are more important than commentary or informal chatter.
Related markets
-0.1%
24h Vol
$1.4M
Liquidity
$2.3M
Spread
0%
6/17/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 1% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Readers should watch the Democratic Party’s official nomination process, including convention decisions, delegate voting, and any official announcement of the party’s presidential nominee. The most important detail is the exact resolution source: a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, so the final answer will follow those records rather than outside reporting. One ambiguity to keep in mind is that a late replacement nominee does not alter this market, so the question is who the party officially nominates for 2028, not who ends up on the ballot later if circumstances change.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?. The market currently shows a live probability of 1%, $41.5K in 24h volume, and $2.3M in liquidity.
Track political prediction markets, election probabilities, and real-time political forecasting trends across major global events and government decisions.
Yes
0.7%
No
99.4%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Nov 7, 2028. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 1%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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