economy
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0%
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Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
24h Vol
$1.4M
Liquidity
$2.3M
Spread
0%
6/17/2026
View marketPolitics
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?. The market currently shows a live probability of 1%, $22K in 24h volume, and $1.6M in liquidity.
Probability
1%
24h Volume
$22K
Liquidity
$1.6M
This market asks whether Gina Raimondo will be the Democratic Party’s nominee for U.S. president in 2028. It is worth watching because the nomination is a high-stakes party decision that will ultimately depend on campaigns, delegates, and the rules of the Democratic convention—not just early speculation about who looks viable today.
Gina Raimondo, a former Rhode Island governor and U.S. commerce secretary, is the named candidate here, and the question is whether she will win and accept the 2028 Democratic nomination for president. The market resolves to Yes only if official Democratic Party sources indicate she is the nominee and she accepts; otherwise it resolves to No. The end date shown is November 7, 2028, but the key resolution point is the party’s nomination outcome, not the general election result.
Presidential nominations are often unsettled for a long time, and many potential candidates can emerge, fade, or be replaced before a convention vote is final. This market reflects the uncertainty over whether Raimondo, a prominent Democratic figure with cabinet and executive experience, will actually become the party’s chosen standard-bearer. Readers are effectively weighing her name recognition, future campaign strength, and the party’s eventual preference against the many other people who could compete for the nomination.
Official campaign announcements, endorsements from major Democratic figures, delegate counts, debate performances, and changes to the party’s nomination rules could all move this market. Because the contract specifically depends on the Democratic nomination and acceptance, convention decisions, withdrawals by rivals, or any sign that Raimondo is or is not being positioned as the party’s final choice would matter more than general election chatter. The market can also react to official party statements that clarify who the nominee is, especially if there is any unusual nomination process or replacement scenario.
Related markets
-0.1%
24h Vol
$1.4M
Liquidity
$2.3M
Spread
0%
6/17/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 1% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The most important source of truth is the consensus of official Democratic Party sources, so readers should watch the party’s convention results, formal nomination announcements, and any official acceptance statement. The description also says that replacing the Democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution, so the key question is who is officially nominated and accepted, not who ends up on a ballot later. If the process becomes unusual, the exact party wording and the date of the official nomination decision will matter most for resolving any ambiguity.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?. The market currently shows a live probability of 1%, $22K in 24h volume, and $1.6M in liquidity.
Track political prediction markets, election probabilities, and real-time political forecasting trends across major global events and government decisions.
Yes
0.8%
No
99.3%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Nov 7, 2028. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 1%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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