
+13.8%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?
24h Vol
$200.7K
Liquidity
$61.1K
Spread
1%
7/1/2026
View marketFinance
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of June?. The market currently shows a live probability of 1%, $94.6K in 24h volume, and $21.4K in liquidity.
Probability
1%
24h Volume
$94.6K
Liquidity
$21.4K
This market asks whether CME Gold futures will reach a very high official settlement threshold, not just whether gold trades there intraday. Because the rule is tied to CME’s published settlement for the active front-month GC contract, the exact pricing source and contract rollover timing matter a lot here.
The question is whether the CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures will be at or above $5,300 on any trading day from market creation through the final trading day of June 2026. Gold futures trade on CME in a set of delivery months, and the “Active Month” changes automatically as the front month rolls forward under CME’s rules. Only the official settlement price for that Active Month counts for resolution; highs, lows, and intraday prints do not.
This market captures uncertainty around how far gold can run before the end of June 2026 and whether a major round-number price level will be printed in CME’s official settlement data. For readers, the key issue is not a casual price spike but whether the market can sustain or close at an extreme level on the exchange’s benchmark. That makes it a focused test of both price momentum and how the futures contract is being rolled and settled.
The price will move most on changes in the path of gold futures themselves, especially if the active GC contract approaches or clears the $5,300 settlement line. Because resolution depends on CME’s official settlement, anything that affects the front-month contract’s benchmark close — including sharp moves in gold, contract rollover timing, or trading conditions on settlement days — can matter. A contract switch near the First Position Date can also change which month is considered “Active Month,” so the exact eligible settlement day sequence is important.
Related markets

+13.8%
24h Vol
$200.7K
Liquidity
$61.1K
Spread
1%
7/1/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 1% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Readers should watch the CME settlement page for the active GC contract and confirm which delivery month is currently designated as the Active Month under CME’s rollover rules. The source of truth is the first official CME settlement published for each trading day, and later corrections do not count under the market rules. Because weekends, holidays, and market-closure days are ignored, the final trading day of June 2026 and any qualifying settlement earlier in the period are the key dates to check.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of June?. The market currently shows a live probability of 1%, $94.6K in 24h volume, and $21.4K in liquidity.
Track live finance prediction markets focused on interest rates, inflation, stock market events, central bank decisions, and global financial forecasting trends.
Yes
0.8%
No
99.2%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 30, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price on any trading day between market creation and the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 1%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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