culture
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
0%
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Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
24h Vol
$126.9K
Liquidity
$51.4K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketCulture
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 9%, $2.6K in 24h volume, and $20.5K in liquidity.
Probability
9%
24h Volume
$2.6K
Liquidity
$20.5K
This market asks whether Hyperliquid’s HYPEUSDT contract on Binance will print a one-minute low at or below $12 before the end of 2026. It is a simple price-threshold question, but the answer depends on a very specific source: Binance futures candles, not spot prices or any other exchange.
The title names Hyperliquid, the crypto project behind the HYPE token, and sets a clear trigger price of $12. The market resolves “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for HYPEUSDT from November 24, 2025, 15:45 ET through December 31, 2026, 23:59 ET has a final low at or below that level; otherwise it resolves “No.” The end date shown on the page is January 1, 2027, at 05:00 UTC, which corresponds to that ET cutoff.
HYPE is a volatile crypto asset, so a move from its prevailing trading range down to $12 is uncertain enough to draw disagreement. Traders may be weighing whether Hyperliquid’s token can hold up through market swings, liquidity changes, or broader crypto selloffs over a long time horizon. The market is pricing that disagreement directly around one concrete price line rather than a general view of the project.
Anything that affects HYPE’s Binance futures price can matter here, especially broad crypto risk sentiment, sharp sector selloffs, or unusual volatility in assets that trade alongside it. Because the rule uses the low of a one-minute candle, even a brief wick or fast drop on Binance could decide the market before a later rebound. Changes in Binance futures liquidity, leverage conditions, or sudden market-wide moves are especially relevant to watch.
The current market price implies roughly a 9% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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24h Vol
$126.9K
Liquidity
$51.4K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketThe most important source of truth is the Binance HYPEUSDT futures chart with the time frame set to 1m, since only that feed counts for resolution. Readers should verify the exact candle low, the ET time window, and whether the price printed on Binance futures—not spot or another venue—ever touched $12 or lower. The main ambiguity risk is confusing the specified Binance futures data with prices from other exchanges or with intraday moves that did not become the final low of a one-minute candle.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 9%, $2.6K in 24h volume, and $20.5K in liquidity.
Track live culture prediction markets focused on entertainment, celebrity events, streaming trends, viral topics, movies, music, and global pop culture developments.
Yes
9%
No
91%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jan 1, 2027. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Hyperliquid (HYPEUSDT) between November 24, 2025, 15:45 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “Low” price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the HYPEUSDT “Low” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/futures/HYPEUSDT with the chart settings on “1m” (one-minute candles) selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance HYPEUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 9%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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