culture
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
0%
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Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
24h Vol
$126.9K
Liquidity
$50.1K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketCulture
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 11%, $10.6K in 24h volume, and $20.6K in liquidity.
Probability
11%
24h Volume
$10.6K
Liquidity
$20.6K
This market asks whether Hyperliquid’s HYPEUSDT futures contract on Binance will print a one-minute candle low of $16 or below before the end of 2026. It is a straightforward price-level test, but the exact exchange and candle format matter a lot because the result depends on Binance futures data only, not on broader market averages or spot prices. The listed prices and narrow spread suggest traders are leaning toward the “No” side, though the outcome will ultimately be determined by one qualifying candle on the resolution source.
The question here is whether HYPEUSDT on Binance futures will ever touch $16 or lower on a 1-minute candle low between November 24, 2025, 15:45 ET and December 31, 2026, 23:59 ET. If any qualifying Binance one-minute candle shows a final Low price at or below $16, the market resolves “Yes”; if none do, it resolves “No.” The end date shown on the page is January 1, 2027 at 05:00 UTC, which corresponds to the ET deadline in the rules.
Hyperliquid is a closely watched crypto asset, so the debate is not about whether it will still exist, but whether its Binance futures price can fall back to a specific lower level before the deadline. Markets like this capture disagreement over how volatile HYPE may be over a long window and whether a sharp selloff, market stress, or liquidity shock could push the contract to $16 at any point. Because the threshold is a single price point, even a brief wick or low on one minute of trading can decide the outcome.
What matters most is whether Binance’s HYPEUSDT futures price ever trades down through $16 on a one-minute candle low. A broad crypto selloff, a sharp move specific to Hyperliquid, or a sudden futures dislocation on Binance could bring the contract close to the trigger even if the price later rebounds quickly. By contrast, steady trading above the threshold, or weakness that stays above $16, would leave the market headed toward “No.”
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24h Vol
$126.9K
Liquidity
$50.1K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 11% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Readers should watch the Binance HYPEUSDT futures chart, not spot HYPE or prices from other exchanges, because only Binance futures data counts for resolution. The key details to verify are the 1-minute candle setting, the ET time window in the rules, and the exact Low value on any candle, since a brief intraminute move is enough to settle the market. If there is any ambiguity, the safest check is the Binance futures page linked in the market description and the final Low prices on candles up to the deadline.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 11%, $10.6K in 24h volume, and $20.6K in liquidity.
Track live culture prediction markets focused on entertainment, celebrity events, streaming trends, viral topics, movies, music, and global pop culture developments.
Yes
10.5%
No
89.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jan 1, 2027. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Hyperliquid (HYPEUSDT) between November 24, 2025, 15:45 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “Low” price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the HYPEUSDT “Low” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/futures/HYPEUSDT with the chart settings on “1m” (one-minute candles) selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance HYPEUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 11%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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