economy
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
0%
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Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
24h Vol
$1.4M
Liquidity
$2.3M
Spread
0%
6/17/2026
View marketPolitics
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?. The market currently shows a live probability of 2%, $801.1 in 24h volume, and $1.1M in liquidity.
Probability
2%
24h Volume
$801.1
Liquidity
$1.1M
This market asks whether Jon Stewart will end up as the Democratic Party’s 2028 nominee for president and accept that nomination. Stewart is best known as a comedian and former host of *The Daily Show*, so the question is unusual because it is about a media figure crossing into the formal presidential nominating process. The market is tied to the 2028 election cycle, with resolution set for after the Democratic nomination is settled and election day arrives.
The outcome is “Yes” only if Jon Stewart wins the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination and accepts it. The market rules say the resolution will be based on a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, so readers should look to party announcements, convention results, and other formal party records rather than commentary or unofficial speculation. It also says that if the Democratic nominee is later replaced before election day, that replacement does not change how this market resolves.
The uncertainty here is not about whether Stewart is a recognizable public figure, but whether he would actually become the party’s chosen standard-bearer in a presidential nominating process that is usually dominated by elected officials and longtime political contenders. People may care because a Stewart nomination would be a highly atypical political development with obvious media attention, even if it remains a remote outcome. The market is pricing the chance that his name could somehow emerge through the formal Democratic process, despite the gap between celebrity status and party nomination mechanics.
Price moves would likely come from official steps in the Democratic nomination process, such as delegate commitments, convention rules, endorsements that matter to party insiders, or any formal statement from the party indicating who the nominee is. Anything that changes whether Stewart is being treated as a serious candidate, or whether another person is clearly positioned to receive the nomination, could shift this market. Because the resolution depends on official Democratic sources, the most important developments are formal and procedural rather than general chatter.
Related markets
-0.1%
24h Vol
$1.4M
Liquidity
$2.3M
Spread
0%
6/17/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 2% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before this market resolves, the key thing to verify is the Democratic Party’s official nominee and whether that person accepts the nomination. The description does not name a single document or office as the sole source, so readers should watch for the convention result and any party-wide official announcement that establishes the nominee. The note about replacement nominees is important: even if the Democratic ticket changes later, the market still resolves based on whether Jon Stewart won and accepted the original 2028 nomination.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?. The market currently shows a live probability of 2%, $801.1 in 24h volume, and $1.1M in liquidity.
Track political prediction markets, election probabilities, and real-time political forecasting trends across major global events and government decisions.
Yes
1.7%
No
98.4%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Nov 7, 2028. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 2%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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