economy
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
0%
-0.1%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
24h Vol
$1.4M
Liquidity
$2.3M
Spread
0%
6/17/2026
View marketPolitics
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will José Williams win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $143.2K in 24h volume, and $214.9K in liquidity.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$143.2K
Liquidity
$214.9K
This market asks whether José Williams will be the winner of Peru’s 2026 presidential election. It is tied to a national contest scheduled for April 12, 2026, with the possibility of a second round if no one wins outright at first. Because the result depends on both candidacy and the final official count, it is a market to watch for formal electoral developments rather than day-to-day speculation.
The question is simple: will José Williams be the person listed as the winner of Peru’s next presidential election? The market covers the full election process, including any runoff, and it does not settle until the winner is known from the election results. If the result is still not definitively known by October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to "Other."
José Williams is a named Peruvian political figure, but the market is not asking whether he is prominent; it is asking whether he actually wins the presidency in 2026. That creates a clear uncertainty around candidate viability, ballot access, coalition building, and whether he can survive a multi-round contest. Readers are essentially weighing one person’s path to the presidency against a field that may include stronger national rivals.
Official steps that matter most here are candidate registration, confirmed eligibility, party endorsements, and any formal runoff results. Polling shifts can matter insofar as they change expectations about whether Williams can reach the top of the field or advance in a second round, but the market ultimately cares about the official winner. Any announcement from Peru’s election authorities that changes the list of candidates, the runoff lineup, or the certified winner could move the market sharply.
The current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
-0.1%
24h Vol
$1.4M
Liquidity
$2.3M
Spread
0%
6/17/2026
View marketThe key sources of truth are Peru’s National Office of Electoral Processes (ONPE) and the National Jury of Elections (JNE), which the market rules name as the final reference if there is ambiguity. Readers should verify who is officially certified as the winner, whether a runoff is required, and whether José Williams is even on the final ballot as a candidate. The April 12, 2026 election date starts the process, but the market stays open until the outcome is clear or until the October 31, 2026 cutoff triggers an "Other" resolution.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will José Williams win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $143.2K in 24h volume, and $214.9K in liquidity.
Track political prediction markets, election probabilities, and real-time political forecasting trends across major global events and government decisions.
Yes
0.1%
No
100%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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