esports
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
2%
0%
Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Karrigan retire by June 30? . The market currently shows a live probability of 4%, $724.2 in 24h volume, and $4.5K in liquidity.
Probability
4%
24h Volume
$724.2
Liquidity
$4.5K
This market asks whether Finn "karrigan" Andersen will explicitly announce that he is retiring from professional competitive esports by June 30, 2026. It is a closely watched Counter-Strike question because karrigan is one of the most recognizable veteran leaders in the scene, so any retirement statement would be a notable endpoint for a long top-level career.
The resolution is tied to a very specific event: an official retirement announcement from Karrigan by 11:59 PM ET on June 30, 2026. The market counts a direct announcement as a Yes even if he has not yet stopped playing on the spot, while a break, a pause from competition, a streaming move, or a switch to another game does not qualify unless he clearly says he is retiring from professional competitive esports. The source of truth is Karrigan himself, with credible reporting only as backup if the announcement is clear.
Karrigan is a long-tenured Counter-Strike figure, and players with that kind of history often become the subject of retirement speculation as rosters evolve and careers age. The uncertainty here is not whether he remains relevant, but whether he will choose to formally close the book on professional competition by the deadline. Readers are effectively pricing the chance that one of esports' most established in-game leaders makes a retirement announcement within the time window.
The biggest price movers would be any official post, interview, social media statement, or team communication where Karrigan says he is retiring. A clear sign that he plans to continue competing, such as joining a new roster, extending a contract, or publicly dismissing retirement talk, would push the market the other way. Because the rules require an explicit retirement announcement, ambiguous comments about taking a break or changing roles should matter less unless they directly confirm retirement.
Related markets
0%
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 4% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before the deadline, the key thing to verify is whether Karrigan personally and explicitly says he is retiring from professional competitive esports. Since the market does not resolve on inactivity, readers should not treat a benching, hiatus, or streaming transition as enough on its own. The resolution window ends at June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, so any qualifying announcement must appear by then and should be checked against the official wording rather than inferred from context.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Karrigan retire by June 30? . The market currently shows a live probability of 4%, $724.2 in 24h volume, and $4.5K in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
4.2%
No
95.8%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 30, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Karrigan, the professional Counter-Strike player, announces his retirement from professional competitive esports by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement from Karrigan that he is retiring will qualify even if his official retirement has not yet occurred. Breaks, periods of inactivity, transitions to another game, or transitions to streaming will not count unless Karrigan explicitly announces his retirement from professional competitive esports. The resolution source will be official announcements from Karrigan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 4%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
--
24h Vol
$438.3K
Liquidity
$2.6K
Spread
2%
12/31/2026
View market
--
24h Vol
$730
Liquidity
$6.5K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View market+7.5%
24h Vol
$239.1
Liquidity
$2.6K
Spread
3%
12/31/2026
View market+1.5%
24h Vol
$155.2
Liquidity
$1.8K
Spread
8%
12/31/2026
View market--
24h Vol
$153.3
Liquidity
$2.3K
Spread
1%
12/31/2026
View market