economy
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
0%
-0.1%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
24h Vol
$1.4M
Liquidity
$2.3M
Spread
0%
6/17/2026
View marketPolitics
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?. The market currently shows a live probability of 1%, $31.7K in 24h volume, and $3.1M in liquidity.
Probability
1%
24h Volume
$31.7K
Liquidity
$3.1M
This market asks whether Kim Kardashian will become the Democratic Party’s nominee for U.S. president in 2028 and accept that nomination. It is an unusual political market because the named person is far better known as a celebrity and business figure than as an elected official, so readers should expect the question to hinge on formal party actions rather than public fame alone.
The event being tracked is the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, with the final resolution tied to Kim Kardashian specifically. Under the market rules, it pays out “Yes” only if she wins and accepts the Democratic nomination for president; otherwise it resolves “No.” The end date is set for 2028-11-07T00:00:00Z, which is election day, and the market says that if the Democratic nominee is later replaced before election day, that replacement does not change the outcome for this contract.
The uncertainty here is not about a routine primary contest but about whether a highly nontraditional candidate could ever be formally chosen by the Democratic Party. That makes the market less about campaign chatter and more about whether the party’s official nominating process could produce an outcome that would be extraordinary by normal political standards. The trading activity suggests the market is overwhelmingly skeptical of that outcome, while still leaving a tiny amount of room for an outlier scenario.
The biggest price moves would come from official Democratic Party steps that materially change the nomination picture, such as a delegate-driven convention process, an unusual endorsement pattern, or any formal party statement indicating she is being considered or has accepted the nomination. Because the rules require a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, any announcement from the party structure itself matters far more than speculation, social media rumors, or entertainment coverage. A late-cycle replacement of the nominee would not help this contract resolve “Yes” unless Kim Kardashian is the person actually nominated and accepting under the stated rules.
Related markets
-0.1%
24h Vol
$1.4M
Liquidity
$2.3M
Spread
0%
6/17/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 1% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Readers should check the exact wording of official Democratic Party sources that would settle who the nominee is and whether that person has accepted the nomination. The key ambiguity to watch is the resolution rule’s emphasis on a “consensus of official Democratic Party sources,” since that means the market will care about party-authenticated nominee announcements rather than informal statements or press reports. It is also important to remember the separate replacement rule: even if the party changes nominees before election day, the contract still resolves based on whether Kim Kardashian herself wins and accepts the nomination.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?. The market currently shows a live probability of 1%, $31.7K in 24h volume, and $3.1M in liquidity.
Track political prediction markets, election probabilities, and real-time political forecasting trends across major global events and government decisions.
Yes
0.7%
No
99.4%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Nov 7, 2028. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 1%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
-3%
24h Vol
$1.5M
Liquidity
$574.6K
Spread
1%
6/15/2026
View market
+2.1%
24h Vol
$1.8M
Liquidity
$549.6K
Spread
0%
11/7/2028
View market
--
24h Vol
$703.8K
Liquidity
$185.3K
Spread
0%
6/7/2026
View market
+0.1%
24h Vol
$243.3K
Liquidity
$613.1K
Spread
0%
10/4/2026
View market
--
24h Vol
$93.7K
Liquidity
$358K
Spread
0%
4/30/2027
View market