culture
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
0%
-1.2%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
24h Vol
$146.1K
Liquidity
$71.6K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketCulture
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will "Make Them Cry - Drake" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of June 20?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $267.9 in 24h volume, and $626.2 in liquidity.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$267.9
Liquidity
$626.2
This market asks whether Drake’s song "Make Them Cry" will debut at No. 1 on Billboard’s Hot 100 for the chart dated June 20, 2026. It is a focused question because the Hot 100 is the most visible U.S. singles chart, and a new Drake release would draw attention from both streaming and sales audiences. The resolution depends on one specific Billboard chart week, not on broader commercial success or later chart performance.
The title refers to a single song, "Make Them Cry - Drake," and asks if it will be the top-ranked song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart labeled "Week of June 20, 2026." Billboard’s chart dates can be confusing: the chart title uses the upcoming Saturday’s date, while the data window is the prior Friday through Thursday. This market resolves to Yes only if Billboard’s official Hot 100 for that week lists this song at number 1; otherwise it resolves No.
There is real uncertainty because a song can land at No. 1 only if its streaming, sales, and radio performance outpace every other track in that chart week. Drake is a major chart presence, but even a high-profile release still has to compete with other fast-moving hits, especially during a week where another song may already have momentum. The market is effectively pricing the chance that this particular release is strong enough, in that exact chart window, to top the list.
Any concrete sign that "Make Them Cry" is being released, promoted, or consumed at a level that could dominate its chart week can move this market, especially information tied to the eligible tracking window. Because Billboard’s ranking is based on the previous week’s activity, the timing of the song’s release relative to the Friday-Thursday chart period matters a great deal. The closer the song is to a real No. 1 position in streaming, sales, and airplay conversation for that week, the more the price can shift.
Related markets
-1.2%
24h Vol
$146.1K
Liquidity
$71.6K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The key source of truth is the official Billboard Hot 100 chart on Billboard’s website or official channels, specifically the chart titled "Week of June 20, 2026." Readers should verify that the song title matches exactly and that it is listed at No. 1 on that chart, since the market resolves from the published chart order rather than from rumors or previews. The market is scheduled to end on June 16, 2026, and if Billboard does not publish the relevant chart within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, the market resolves to "Other."
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will "Make Them Cry - Drake" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of June 20?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $267.9 in 24h volume, and $626.2 in liquidity.
Track live culture prediction markets focused on entertainment, celebrity events, streaming trends, viral topics, movies, music, and global pop culture developments.
Yes
0.3%
No
99.8%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 16, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of June 20, 2026”. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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