Will Maxx Crosby play for Buffalo Bills next?

What this market is about

The page asks a simple but specific question: will Maxx Crosby officially join the Buffalo Bills as his next team before the market’s deadline? The market description says the outcome is determined by the next team he officially joins by August 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, with the result based on official signing announcements from the Raiders or the acquiring team, or credible consensus reporting if needed. If he signs with a different team, remains unsigned, retires, or otherwise does not join a listed team by the cutoff, the market resolves according to the listed fallback rules rather than to Buffalo by default.

Why the market exists

Crosby is a high-profile pass rusher, and players at that level can become the subject of offseason trade, free-agency, or contract speculation. The Buffalo Bills matter here because they are a contending team often associated with win-now roster moves, so a Crosby-to-Buffalo outcome would be a major headline if it happened. The market is pricing uncertainty around both the likelihood of Crosby leaving the Raiders and the possibility that Buffalo becomes the landing spot.

What can move the price

The biggest price moves would come from any official transaction involving Crosby, especially a Raiders announcement, a Bills announcement, or a confirmed signing elsewhere. Trade reports, contract extensions, release rumors, or statements from team officials could also shift expectations if they are credible and specific. Because the rules resolve on an official signing announcement, a lot depends on whether public speculation becomes a formal team action before the deadline.

How to read the current probability