Will Maxx Crosby play for New England Patriots next?

What this market is about

The resolution frame is the next team Maxx Crosby officially joins by August 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. If the first official signing announcement points to the New England Patriots, the market resolves that way; if he joins a different listed team, the result follows that team instead. If he does not officially join a new team by the deadline, or if the listed fallback conditions apply, the market resolves according to the contract rules in the description, including a possible fallback to the Las Vegas Raiders or “Other.”

Why the market exists

The uncertainty here is not about Crosby’s talent, but about whether and where a future roster move happens before the deadline. Because the title singles out the Patriots, the market is really pricing the chance that New England becomes his next official NFL stop, rather than another team or no move at all. That makes the market especially sensitive to offseason roster planning, contract announcements, and any credible reporting about where he might sign.

What can move the price

An official signing announcement from the Patriots or the Raiders would be the clearest price-moving event, because the rules say that kind of announcement can resolve the market immediately. Credible reporting that Crosby is nearing a deal with New England, or that another team is now the front-runner, could also shift expectations before any official paperwork appears. By contrast, silence, a re-signing elsewhere, or no move before the deadline would push the market toward the fallback outcomes described in the rules.

How to read the current probability