Will Maxx Crosby play for Washington Commanders next?

What this market is about

The resolution is tied to the first team Maxx Crosby officially joins by August 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. For the “Yes” outcome on this page, the Commanders would need to be his next officially announced team; otherwise the market resolves according to the listed fallback rules, including Las Vegas Raiders if no new team is joined by the deadline. Official signing announcements from the Raiders or the acquiring team are the primary source, and the market can also be resolved using a consensus of credible media reporting.

Why the market exists

Crosby is one of the most recognizable defensive players in the NFL, and star players do not change teams very often, especially on a timeline that reaches into a future offseason. The uncertainty comes from whether Washington would be willing and able to land him if he ever becomes available, versus him staying in Las Vegas or ending up elsewhere. The current pricing shown on the page leans strongly toward No, which suggests the market sees a Commanders move as unlikely unless a major roster change happens.

What can move the price

A public trade, contract extension, release, or signing involving Crosby would be the clearest price mover, especially if Washington is named directly. Reports that he is being shopped, wants out, or is in talks with the Commanders would likely move the market quickly, while a new Raiders extension would push it the other way. Because the market resolves only on an official team change by the deadline, even strong rumors matter less than a formal announcement.

How to read the current probability