culture
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
0%
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Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
24h Vol
$159.9K
Liquidity
$50.3K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketCulture
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will MrBeast hit 129 billion views by June 30?. The market currently shows a live probability of 96%, $1.7K in 24h volume, and $3.2K in liquidity.
Probability
96%
24h Volume
$1.7K
Liquidity
$3.2K
Current
98.1%
Change
+83.6%
High
99.6%
Low
14.5%
Yes moved from 14.5% to 98.1% over the full available history, trading between 14.5% and 99.6%.
Yes price history from Polymarket CLOB.
124 points
This market asks whether MrBeast’s main YouTube channel will reach 129 billion total views by June 30, 2026. It is worth watching because MrBeast is one of the biggest creators on YouTube, and his channel’s cumulative view count is a simple, public metric that can be checked directly on the channel page.
The question is narrowly defined: will the MrBeast YouTube channel at https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast show at least 129 billion views by 11:59 PM ET on June 30, 2026? If it does, the market resolves to Yes; if not, it resolves to No. The primary source of truth is the channel itself, so the relevant number is the public view total displayed there at the deadline.
MrBeast’s channel has been one of the fastest-growing and most watched creator brands on the platform for years, so even a huge total like 129 billion can still feel uncertain over a fixed time window. The market is really pricing whether the channel’s ongoing upload cadence and back catalog will generate enough additional views before the cutoff. Readers may care because the outcome depends on a very visible public channel statistic rather than a subjective judgment.
New uploads, especially if they perform unusually well, can add a lot of views quickly and make the threshold look more reachable. Changes in how often older videos are resurfaced, the pace of subscriber growth, or any large shifts in channel momentum can also affect the odds indirectly. Because the deadline is fixed, each passing week with slower view accumulation makes the target harder to reach, while a strong viral run would push the market the other way.
The current market price implies roughly a 96% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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24h Vol
$159.9K
Liquidity
$50.3K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketBefore June 30, 2026, the key thing to verify is the cumulative views number shown on the official MrBeast channel, since that is the primary resolution source named in the rules. Watch the exact cutoff: 11:59 PM ET on June 30, 2026, not the date in another time zone or a later refreshed count. If the channel layout changes or the view total is displayed in a way that is hard to read, the market rules still point back to the public YouTube channel as the deciding source.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will MrBeast hit 129 billion views by June 30?. The market currently shows a live probability of 96%, $1.7K in 24h volume, and $3.2K in liquidity.
Track live culture prediction markets focused on entertainment, celebrity events, streaming trends, viral topics, movies, music, and global pop culture developments.
Yes
96.3%
No
3.7%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 30, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MrBeast YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast) hits the specified number of views by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the MrBeast YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast).
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 96%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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