economy
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0%
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Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
24h Vol
$1.4M
Liquidity
$2.3M
Spread
0%
6/17/2026
View marketPolitics
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?. The market currently shows a live probability of 1%, $29.7K in 24h volume, and $2.3M in liquidity.
Probability
1%
24h Volume
$29.7K
Liquidity
$2.3M
This market asks whether MrBeast — the online creator Jimmy Donaldson — will become the Democratic Party’s nominee for president in 2028. Because the nominee is chosen through party rules, delegate counts, and the convention process rather than by a general election vote, the market is really about whether a famous internet personality could clear the formal hurdles of a major U.S. party nomination.
The title names MrBeast, a widely recognized YouTuber and media figure, and the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination. Under the rules, it resolves to Yes only if the named individual wins and accepts the Democratic Party’s nomination for U.S. president; if he does not, it resolves to No. The deadline is tied to the 2028 election cycle, with resolution expected by election day on 2028-11-07 unless the party’s official nomination is settled earlier in a way that still meets the rule.
This market reflects uncertainty around whether an unconventional outsider could ever move from celebrity status into the formal presidential nominating process. The key disagreement is not about general fame, but about whether MrBeast would actually enter, survive, and ultimately win a Democratic delegate contest that is usually dominated by elected officials, established donors, and party coalitions. The named-person setup makes the question unusually specific: it is not about whether he is popular online, but whether he becomes the official Democratic nominee under party rules.
Price could move if MrBeast signals a serious interest in running, forms a campaign committee, or begins appearing in credible delegate-count or convention discussions. It could also move if Democratic Party rules, ballot access developments, or other major candidates’ actions make an outsider nomination look more or less plausible. Because the market resolves only on an official party outcome, informal speculation, memes, endorsements, or public attention matter mainly insofar as they change the odds that he actually wins the nomination and accepts it.
Related markets
-0.1%
24h Vol
$1.4M
Liquidity
$2.3M
Spread
0%
6/17/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 1% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The source of truth is a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, so readers should watch the party’s official nomination process, convention results, and any formal acceptance by the nominee. The most important detail is the exact wording: the market is about MrBeast winning and accepting the 2028 Democratic nomination for U.S. president, not about whether he runs, polls well, or is replaced later. If another candidate is substituted or the ticket changes before election day, that does not alter resolution unless the named individual himself is the official nominee under the rule.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?. The market currently shows a live probability of 1%, $29.7K in 24h volume, and $2.3M in liquidity.
Track political prediction markets, election probabilities, and real-time political forecasting trends across major global events and government decisions.
Yes
0.8%
No
99.3%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Nov 7, 2028. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 1%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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