culture
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
0%
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Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
24h Vol
$126.9K
Liquidity
$51.4K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketCulture
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will MrBeast's next video get 100 million or more views on week 1?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $929.5 in 24h volume, and $24.9K in liquidity.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$929.5
Liquidity
$24.9K
This market asks a simple but specific question: will MrBeast’s next full YouTube upload clear 100 million views within its first seven days? It is worth watching because MrBeast is one of the most watched creators on the platform, and his launches can draw enormous early attention even by YouTube standards.
The event is tied to the next video MrBeast posts after this market was created, not to any older upload, Shorts, previews, or other unrelated content. Resolution will use the view count shown on MrBeast’s official YouTube channel for that exact video after seven days, with the market set to the lowest range if no qualifying video is posted by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If the final reported view count sits exactly on a boundary between brackets, the market resolves to the higher bracket.
There is real uncertainty here because crossing 100 million views in a week is an unusually high bar, even for a creator with MrBeast’s scale and recurring viral reach. Readers may care because this market reflects expectations about how much attention his next upload will attract, how broadly it will spread, and whether it can match the massive launch performance that his biggest videos sometimes achieve.
The biggest price moves would come from knowing when the next MrBeast video is actually posted, what kind of video it is, and how broadly it appears to be resonating soon after release. A heavily packaged challenge, giveaway, or stunt with broad mainstream appeal would usually be interpreted differently from a narrower or more niche upload, since the first-week view trajectory matters more than lifetime interest. If posting is delayed near the June 30 deadline, the no-post fallback rule becomes more important and can shift expectations sharply.
The current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
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24h Vol
$126.9K
Liquidity
$51.4K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketThe key source of truth is the view counter on MrBeast’s official YouTube channel for the next qualifying video posted after market creation. Before resolution, readers should confirm that the video in question is the first full upload after the market opened, that it is not a Short or teaser, and that the seven-day window is measured from the upload time of that specific video. The main ambiguity to watch for is whether a later upload or side content qualifies; according to the rules, it does not, so only the next main video counts.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will MrBeast's next video get 100 million or more views on week 1?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $929.5 in 24h volume, and $24.9K in liquidity.
Track live culture prediction markets focused on entertainment, celebrity events, streaming trends, viral topics, movies, music, and global pop culture developments.
Yes
0.1%
No
100%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 30, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast after this market's creation gets in the first 7 days after being posted. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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