culture
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
0%
--
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
24h Vol
$126.9K
Liquidity
$51.4K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketCulture
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $20.5K in 24h volume, and $30.6K in liquidity.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$20.5K
Liquidity
$30.6K
This market is about the opening-week performance of MrBeast’s next main YouTube upload, measured by the views counter on his own channel after seven days. MrBeast is one of the platform’s biggest creators, so whether a new upload lands in the 50 to 60 million range is a meaningful test of how massive his audience still is on a given release.
The question is whether the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast after this market was created will finish its first 7 days with between 50 million and 60 million views. The resolution comes from the views shown on MrBeast’s official channel page for that specific video, and if the count lands exactly on a bracket boundary, the higher bracket is used. If no qualifying YouTube video is posted by June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to the lowest range bracket; Shorts, previews, and other non-matching uploads do not count.
MrBeast videos often reach unusually large audiences, but weekly view totals still vary depending on the topic, thumbnail, upload timing, and how widely the video spreads after launch. A 50 to 60 million week-1 finish sits in a very specific band: high enough to imply a major release, but not so high that it becomes routine even for a creator of his scale. The market is pricing the uncertainty around whether the next qualifying upload will land in that narrow range or fall outside it.
The biggest driver is simply what the next MrBeast upload is and how broadly it is received in the first few days after posting. A highly clickable concept, strong early engagement, or unusually fast sharing could push the video above the band, while a more niche idea, weaker launch momentum, or a longer gap before posting could keep it below. The exact timing of the upload also matters because the market is tied to the first seven days after the video is posted, not to calendar week boundaries.
Related markets
--
24h Vol
$126.9K
Liquidity
$51.4K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Readers should check MrBeast’s official YouTube channel for the next qualifying full video and then track the visible views count during its first week. The key details are the upload date, whether the video is a standard long-form upload rather than a Short or preview, and the exact seven-day total used by the channel’s public counter. Because the market resolves by a specific bracket, the important ambiguity to watch is whether the reported number lands inside the 50 to 60 million range or on the wrong side of a boundary.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $20.5K in 24h volume, and $30.6K in liquidity.
Track live culture prediction markets focused on entertainment, celebrity events, streaming trends, viral topics, movies, music, and global pop culture developments.
Yes
0.1%
No
100%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 30, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast after this market's creation gets in the first 7 days after being posted. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
--
24h Vol
$59.5K
Liquidity
$41.5K
Spread
0%
6/12/2026
View market-10.4%
24h Vol
$197.6K
Liquidity
$19.3K
Spread
0%
6/6/2026
View market
+0.1%
24h Vol
$280.4K
Liquidity
$1.9M
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View market
+11.7%
24h Vol
$44.1K
Liquidity
$13K
Spread
4%
6/8/2026
View market
--
24h Vol
$22.1K
Liquidity
$136.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View market