culture
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
0%
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Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
24h Vol
$126.9K
Liquidity
$51.4K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketCulture
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $10.3K in 24h volume, and $14.8K in liquidity.
Probability
100%
24h Volume
$10.3K
Liquidity
$14.8K
This market asks whether MrBeast’s next full YouTube video will land in a very specific popularity band: between 60 million and 70 million views in its first seven days. It is worth watching because MrBeast is one of YouTube’s most closely watched creators, and his uploads can draw huge, fast-moving audiences that make week-one view totals a meaningful test of reach.
The event is tied to the next video posted on MrBeast’s main YouTube channel after this market was created. Resolution depends on the view count for that one video after the first 7 days, using the views counter on MrBeast’s YouTube channel as the source of truth. If he does not post a qualifying YouTube video by June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to the lowest range bracket, and shorts, previews, or other non-referenced uploads do not count.
MrBeast videos often launch with unusually large opening-week audiences, but the exact range can vary depending on the topic, format, and how broadly the video is shared. The market is pricing disagreement over whether the next upload will be strong enough to clear 60 million views in seven days, yet not so high that it lands far above that band. Because the outcome is a range rather than a simple yes-or-no view threshold, the exact week-one performance matters a lot.
The biggest price moves will come from whether MrBeast posts a standard long-form video versus something smaller, and from how broadly the topic seems designed to travel when the upload appears. A major surprise format, a high-profile challenge, or a broadly appealing premise could support a stronger first-week total, while a niche concept, delayed upload, or a video that does not feel like a full flagship release could weaken the case for the 60–70 million range. Any evidence about the next upload being the referenced main video, rather than a short or preview, also matters because only that specific video counts.
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24h Vol
$126.9K
Liquidity
$51.4K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 100% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before this market resolves, readers should verify the date of the first qualifying video after market creation and then check the seven-day view count on MrBeast’s official YouTube channel. The key details are the exact upload timestamp, whether the video is a full YouTube video rather than a Short or teaser, and the view total at day 7 because that is the number used to place the result into a bracket. The main ambiguity risk is a video being posted near the deadline or a mismatch between which upload is considered the “next video” and which one the market is meant to track.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $10.3K in 24h volume, and $14.8K in liquidity.
Track live culture prediction markets focused on entertainment, celebrity events, streaming trends, viral topics, movies, music, and global pop culture developments.
Yes
100%
No
0.1%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 30, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast after this market's creation gets in the first 7 days after being posted. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 100%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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$136.9K
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