Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?

What this market is about

The event is tied to the next video posted on MrBeast’s YouTube channel after this market was created, and the count is measured over the first 7 days after that upload goes live. The outcome is based on the view counter for that exact video on MrBeast’s official channel, not on clips, Shorts, previews, or any other upload. If he does not post a qualifying YouTube video by June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to the lowest range bracket rather than the 70–80 million range.

Why the market exists

MrBeast videos can attract enormous audiences quickly, but week-one performance is still variable depending on the video concept, length, packaging, and how widely it spreads. This market is pricing the question of whether the next upload will be strong enough to clear 70 million views, yet not so large that it moves past 80 million within the first week. The tight band makes the outcome more uncertain than a simple yes/no on “big view count,” which is why the range matters.

What can move the price

A clear teaser, especially one that suggests a major challenge, celebrity appearance, or high-budget stunt, could make the market more likely to expect a huge first-week total. A more niche premise, a shorter-format upload, or anything that looks less broadly clickable could reduce the odds of reaching the 70–80 million window. The exact upload date also matters, because the market only counts the next qualifying video after creation and stops at the June 30, 2026 deadline if no qualifying upload appears.

How to read the current probability