culture
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
0%
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Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
24h Vol
$126.9K
Liquidity
$51.4K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketCulture
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $18.1K in 24h volume, and $26.9K in liquidity.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$18.1K
Liquidity
$26.9K
This market asks whether MrBeast’s next YouTube upload will land in a very specific view band during its first seven days: 90 million to 100 million views. That is a high bar even for one of YouTube’s biggest creators, so the market is really watching whether his next long-form release can keep hitting the kind of massive launch numbers he is known for.
The resolution depends on the next video posted to MrBeast’s YouTube channel after this market was created, using the channel’s public view counter after the first 7 days. If the video has anywhere from 90 million through 100 million views in week 1, the market resolves to Yes; if the count falls outside that bracket, it resolves to No. If MrBeast does not post a qualifying YouTube video by June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to the lowest range bracket, and shorts, previews, or other non-referenced uploads do not count.
MrBeast is a standout case in online media because his uploads can attract enormous early audiences, but the size of that audience still varies from video to video. The disagreement here is not about whether the channel is big, but about whether the next upload clears a very specific performance window that sits near the upper end of YouTube view counts. Since the market only cares about the first week and one exact video, timing, format, and audience response all matter.
A new MrBeast upload is the main event that can change this market, especially if it is a major long-form challenge or giveaway style video that tends to draw broad attention. The weekly view count reported on his channel will be the key number, so strong early traction, unusually fast sharing, or a slower-than-expected launch can all matter. The deadline also matters: if the next qualifying upload is delayed past June 30, 2026, or if the next post is a short or other excluded format, that would push the market toward the lowest bracket under the rules.
Related markets
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24h Vol
$126.9K
Liquidity
$51.4K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before the market resolves, readers should verify that the video in question is the first qualifying YouTube upload MrBeast posts after the market’s creation, not a Short, preview, or another excluded item. The source of truth is his official YouTube channel and the public views counter for that exact video after seven days, with the deadline set at June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET if no qualifying upload appears. One detail to keep in mind is the bracket rule: if the final count lands exactly on a boundary between ranges, the market uses the higher bracket.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $18.1K in 24h volume, and $26.9K in liquidity.
Track live culture prediction markets focused on entertainment, celebrity events, streaming trends, viral topics, movies, music, and global pop culture developments.
Yes
0.1%
No
100%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 30, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast after this market's creation gets in the first 7 days after being posted. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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$136.9K
Spread
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